DXY & Forex

According to CME FedWatch, as of September 1, the Federal Reserve has a 34.6% probability of holding rates steady in September and 65.4% probability of raising rates by 25 basis points. For October, the market is pricing in a 25.4% probability of no change, 57.2% probability of a 25 basis point

US Treasury yields showed mixed performance on the 31st at 3pm Eastern time, with long-term bonds declining as short-term bonds edged slightly higher. The 10-year Treasury yield rose 3.50 basis points to 4.7570%, while the 2-year yield fell 0.20 basis points to 4.3500%, according to Yonhap Infomax's

According to Yonhapinfomax, on August 31 (U.S. Eastern Time afternoon), U.S. long-term Treasury yields climbed to their highest levels in 17 months amid escalating U.S.-Iran military tensions. President Donald Trump threatened swift retaliation for Iran's weekend attack on a U.S. military base in

On Monday, August 31, the U.S. 10-year benchmark Treasury yield climbed 3.20 basis points to 4.75% in the New York close, reaching 4.76% at 00:10 Beijing time. The yield is approaching the January 14, 2025 peak

On Monday, Aug 31 (Beijing time Sept 1, 04:59), offshore Chinese yuan (CNH) was quoted at 6.7179 against the U.S. dollar, down 129 pips from the previous Friday's close. Intraday trading ranged from 6.7321 to 6.7175. In August, CNH gained 0.50% cumulatively, recovering losses from earlier in the

According to Financial News, South Korean retail investors retreated from the domestic stock market on August 31 as KOSPI trading remained flat, with the benchmark's average daily trading volume hitting 322 million shares and trading value reaching 25.76 trillion won—both year lows. The listed stock

According to regulatory filings from Hoisington Investment Management, veteran bond strategist Lacy Hunt has reversed his four-decade bullish stance on long-term U.S. Treasuries. The company's portfolio bond duration has declined sharply from approximately 20.88 years in September 2025 to less

According to Jin10, the U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the dollar against six major currencies, fell 0.28% on August 31 and closed at 99.428 at the close of the New York forex market. EUR/USD rose to 1.1616 from 1.1580, while GBP/USD climbed to 1.3550 from 1.3531, indicating weakness in the dolla

On Monday, August 31, at the close of New York trading, the U.S. dollar fell 0.23% against the yen to 159.72 yen. For August, the dollar rose 1.47% with a trading range of 155.23-160.20 yen. The euro gained 2.27% to 185.55 yen, while sterling advanced 1.99% to 216.414 yen for the

On August 31, USD/JPY broke through 160 per dollar, moving closer to intervention watch levels as strategists identify 161 as the first threshold for potential official response, followed by 162-163 where U.S. and Japanese authorities previously intervened in late July. The pair had recovered only m

According to CME FedWatch data as of 11:40 a.m. ET on August 31, the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has a 66% probability of raising the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00% at its September

On August 31 (New York close), the Bloomberg Dollar Index declined 0.22% to close at 1195.98, with an August monthly loss of approximately 0.9%. The ICE Dollar Index fell 0.29% to 99.416, posting a monthly decline of about 0.50%, with an August trading range of 100.083–98.557

Offshore yuan (CNY) hit 6.7195 against USD at 03:00 Beijing time today, appreciating 112 points from Friday's close. Trading volume reached 26.081 billion USD.

According to Reuters, on August 31, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated during the G20 Finance Ministers meeting in Asheville, North Carolina, that he believes Japan's government and the Bank of Japan will take action to strengthen the yen. Bessent indicated he possesses information the

U.S. stock markets opened lower on Monday, August 31, as surging oil prices and rising Treasury yields revived inflation concerns. The S&P 500 declined 0.18% to 7,697.52, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 97.4 points to 53,462.6. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.17% to 26,358.56. Brent

The average rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage jumped to 6.87% on Monday, the highest level since June 2025, according to Mortgage News Daily. The increase follows renewed hostilities in the Iran war that pushed oil prices higher, driving bond yields up and mortgage rates along with them. This

According to Mortgage News Daily, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate jumped 6 basis points to 6.87% on Monday, marking its highest level since June 2025, as renewed hostilities in the Iran war pushed oil prices higher and drove bond yields up. The rate has climbed 12 basis points since

From 17:30 to 17:45 UTC on August 31, 2026, BTC rose 0.47% over the short term, trading in a range of 78,538.6–79,000.0 USDT, with an amplitude of 0.59%. The 24-hour loss narrowed to 0.56%, while the price remained near $78,743.5, moving sideways within the $77,000–$79,200 range amid a clear standoff between bulls and bears. The primary driver of this volatility was the direct escalation of the US-Iran military conflict. The US launched airstrikes against rocket launchers on Iran’s Larak Island