Global TradFi & Macroeconomics

Focus on price action and volatility across stocks, bonds, forex, commodities, and major indices. Analyze macro indicators like interest rates, inflation, employment, and policy expectations to decode global liquidity shifts, risk sentiment, and cross-market correlations.
All
Stocks
Metals
Indices
Forex
Commodities

Could the CLARITY Act be signed into law in 2026? The probability has fallen from 82% to 20%; why is the market no longer optimistic?

In August 2026, the core legislation of the U.S. crypto market regulatory framework, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act), is facing unprecedented uncertainty. According to data from Gate’s event market, the probability of the bill being signed into law in 2026 has plunged from its February 19 peak of 82% to approximately 20%. Galaxy Digital’s research division is even more pessimistic, lowering the figure to 10%. How has the market’s pricing logic reversed from “almost certain” to
GLXY-0.60%
BTC-1.08%
ETH-0.37%
GateInstantTrends·08-18 04:22
Could the CLARITY Act be signed into law in 2026? The probability has fallen from 82% to 20%; why is the market no longer optimistic?

US Stock Futures Fall as Trump Threatens Oman, Oil Tops $90

U.S. stock futures declined in overnight trading Monday as geopolitical tensions resurfaced following President Donald Trump's threat to bomb Oman if it impedes efforts to end the war against Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Dow futures fell 0.03%, S&P 500 futures dropped 0.25%, and
LucasBennett·08-18 04:04
US Stock Futures Fall as Trump Threatens Oman, Oil Tops $90

Japanese Insurers' JGB Losses Hit 30.86 Trillion Yen, Exceed Stock Gains

Japanese life insurers held unrealized losses on government bonds totaling 30.86 trillion yen as of June-end, Nikkei Asia reported August 18. The losses surged 60% year-over-year based on survey responses from 13 of 14 major insurers, exceeding unrealized gains on domestic stocks of 30.03 trillion y
CryptoFrontier·08-18 04:04
Japanese Insurers' JGB Losses Hit 30.86 Trillion Yen, Exceed Stock Gains