Global TradFi & Macroeconomics

The Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Committee is expected to raise the base rate at its July regular meeting, but Samsung Securities researcher Kim Ji-man stated that the tightening itself may struggle to drive bond yield increases. Kim noted in a July meeting preview report that if the monetary

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) gained 0.1% on Friday (July 10), closing at 100.96, with a weekly advance of approximately 0.1%. Markets continued to weigh inflation dynamics and their impact on Fed policy against rising geopolitical risks, as the largest U.S.-Iran military escalation since a

According to Yonhap Infomax, the US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.5680% on July 10, with the 2-year yield climbing to 4.2080%. The yield curve flattened to 36 basis points. Market sentiment shifted after President Trump declared an end to the ceasefire with Iran on Truth Social, stating that

According to a Samsung Securities preview report on July 11, the Bank of Korea's monetary policy committee is expected to raise its benchmark rate in its July meeting, but the central bank's guidance could limit bond yield gains if it appears less hawkish than market expectations. The report noted t

Korean retail investors purchased $1.5538 billion in the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares ETF (SOXL) during the 3rd-9th period, according to Korea Securities Depository's Seibro portal. The leveraged semiconductor ETF ranked first in net purchases by domestic investors in US stocks, far e

Poland's National Bank (NBP) purchased 82 tonnes of gold so far this year, taking advantage of recent price declines, Governor Adam Glapiński said at a press conference on Thursday. The central bank has been buying gold as prices fell nearly 30% from record highs in late January, with June posting a

According to Kitco News, Poland's National Bank (NBP) has purchased 82 tonnes of gold so far this year, with Governor Adam Glapiński stating on Thursday that the central bank is "consistently buying gold, taking advantage of the recent price drops." The bank bought approximately 19 tonnes in June al

Korean retail investors faced losses as KOSPI semiconductor stocks Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix corrected following a rally that drove expectations for 'KOSPI 10,000 points' to peak late last month, with buy-side circuit breakers triggering on May 10. The correction occurred after investors

According to Reuters, Ukrainian drone attacks have damaged Russian oil refining facilities in recent weeks, creating severe domestic fuel shortages. Russia, traditionally a major exporter of gasoline and diesel, has begun importing fuel to meet domestic demand. The country has already imported at

According to Park Moon-hwan, executive director at Hana Securities, OpenAI's valuation uncertainty represents the most critical variable that could reshape the semiconductor sector. Park noted that if OpenAI's valuation fluctuates, it could trigger a broader reassessment of data center, cloud, and m

South Korean regulators announced a policy review of single-stock leveraged ETFs on July 10, one and a half months after the products launched on May 27. The four most actively traded leveraged ETFs tracking Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix declined between 21.7% and 25.8% from their listing-day

According to Korea Exchange data, single-stock leveraged ETFs for Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have declined significantly since their May 27 listing through July 10. TIGER Samsung Electronics Leveraged ETF fell 25.8%, KODEX Samsung Electronics Leveraged ETF fell 25.5%, TIGER SK Hynix Leveraged

According to Iran's semi-official YJC news agency, a fire at the Oxin Palayesh refinery in Lorestan Province was brought under control on Friday, July 4. The facility's safety manager told YJC that the blaze was contained to an area where abandoned oil drums were stored and did not spread to the ref

According to CME FedWatch data reported by Jin10 on July 11, the Federal Reserve has a 66.3% probability of holding interest rates steady in July and a 33.7% probability of a 25 basis-point rate increase.

US President Donald Trump declared the ceasefire with Iran ended on July 10, yet international oil prices closed lower. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for August delivery fell $0.67 (0.93%) to $71.41 per barrel, while Brent crude for September delivery

South Korea's securities industry on July 11 identified shipbuilding, defense, and nuclear power (often referred to as the "SDN" trio) as top rotation candidates for the second half of 2026, as the semiconductor-dominated market rally shows signs of moderating. The sectors are backed by global

On Friday (July 10), U.S. 2-year Treasury yields rose 3.14 basis points to 4.2079% at New York's close, gaining 7.09 basis points for the week. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed 1.01 basis point to 4.5612%, up 7.81 basis points since the start of the week. The 2/10-year yield spread

S-Oil surged 19.87% this week (6-10) as Middle East tensions escalated, according to Korea Exchange data released on the 11th. The stock rally occurred while the KOSPI index fell over 7%, positioning S-Oil as a defensive play amid market volatility. The price surge reflects investor expectations

According to News1, this week (July 6-10), S-Oil surged 19.87% while the KOSPI fell over 7%, amid escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran over control of the Strait of Hormuz. The stock rally reflected expectations that refining margins will remain strong in the second half of 2026. WTI

Samsung Electro-Mechanics, the top-performing Korean stock in the first half with a 756.47% gain, swung nearly 30% over the past week between profit-taking and rebounds. The stock peaked at 2,205,000 won on July 1 before dropping 33% to 1,479,000 won by July 8, then recovering 6.1% to close at 1,584