Global TradFi & Macroeconomics

According to CME FedWatch on July 15, the Federal Reserve has an 84.5% probability of holding interest rates unchanged in July, with a 15.5% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike. For September, market expectations show a 42.2% probability of rates remaining unchanged, a 50% probability of a

The KOSPI index closed 49.90 points (0.73%) higher at 6856.83 on the 14th following extreme volatility, as reported by Financial News with imagery from Yonhap News showing staff at Hana Bank's dealing room in Jung-gu, Seoul. The modest gain occurred amid a 27 trillion KRW withdrawal from investor de

According to Yonhapnews, South Korea's KOSPI index rose 49.90 points (0.73%) to 6,856.83 on July 14, amid extreme market volatility. Retail investors withdrew 27 trillion won from deposit accounts, marking the largest outflow since the COVID-19

Polymarket launched a prediction contract on June 29, 2026, asking whether the US Treasury will conduct an official blockchain transaction by December 31, 2026, excluding pilots or proof-of-concept experiments. The contract's emergence follows concrete institutional milestones: Tradeweb completed a

DTCC, which processes trillions daily and acts as custodian for over $114 trillion in securities, announced plans to launch initial production tokenized asset trades in July 2026, according to SEC filings and official DTCC statements. Full production rollout is targeted for October 2026, covering

According to Nikkei, Japan's Financial Services Agency (FSA) will conduct a survey on interest rate risks among regional banks. The move is part of FSA's ongoing regulatory focus on financial stability within Japan's banking

According to Iran's Mehr News Agency, explosions were reported in the eastern waters of Hormuzgan Province and the Strait of Hormuz today.

In recent remarks, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey reaffirmed the central bank's commitment to returning inflation to its 2% target, noting that while current progress is "encouraging," the process will require more time. Bailey highlighted that the U.K. economy remains in a "considerably

Gate News: According to the latest Gate TradFi data, USDIDR (US Dollar vs Indonesian Rupiah) has dropped by 2% in a short period. Current volatility is significantly higher than recent averages, indicating increased market

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix stocks have corrected, prompting securities analysts to cite historically low price-to-earnings ratios as evidence of undervaluation. Samsung's 12-month forward PER stands at 4.41x and SK Hynix at 4.69x, both significantly below their 10-year averages of 11.84x and 7

Korean defense stocks fell on July 15 as US-Iran geopolitical tensions escalated, with Hanwha Aerospace dropping 6.84% to 872,000 won. The decline reflected reduced expectations for large-scale defense contracts, as instability in the Middle East complicates contract negotiations. Trump announced a

According to Korea Exchange data, Hanwha Aerospace stock fell 6.84% to 872,000 Korean won on July 15, marking its lowest level in eight months. The decline was driven by escalating geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran, including threats of tariffs on Strait of Hormuz cargo and renewed

According to FnGuide data as of July 13, Samsung Electronics' 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio (PER) hit 4.41x, the lowest level in a decade at the bottom 2.7% of its 10-year distribution. SK Hynix' forward PER stood at 4.69x. Bloomberg reported that South Korea's KOSPI index, heavily

Korean steel stocks recorded a price-to-book ratio (PBR) of 0.39x as of July 14, the lowest among 17 KRX sector indices, according to Korea Exchange data. POSCO Holdings stood at 0.42x, Hyundai Steel at 0.18x, and SeAH Besteel Holdings at 0.56x - significantly below the global steel company

Korean retail investors purchased approximately 1.36 million shares of SK Hynix American Depositary Receipts following the semiconductor company's Nasdaq listing on local time May 10, according to data from nine major domestic brokerages reported by Yonhap News on May 15. The purchases

According to KRX data as of July 14, South Korea's steel stocks are trading at a PBR of 0.39x, the lowest among 17 KRX sector indices. POSCO Holdings (005490) trades at 0.42x, Hyundai Steel (004020) at 0.18x, and Seah Besteel (001430) at 0.56x, all significantly below the global steel sector

Gold prices rose over 1% on the 14th at 2:33 PM US Eastern Time as US June Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell more sharply than expected, weakening interest rate hike bets and boosting gold's appeal. August delivery gold futures (GCQ6) on the CME's COMEX exchange stood at $4,064.90 per troy ounce,

According to CME on July 14 at 2:33 p.m. ET, August gold futures rose 1.48% to $4,064.90 per troy ounce as U.S. June consumer prices fell 0.4% month-over-month, exceeding market expectations of a 0.1% decline. The sharper-than-expected CPI decline weakened Fed rate hike bets, with futures markets p

According to Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas, T. Rowe Price's active cryptocurrency ETF TKNZ is set to launch on Thursday, July 16. Balchunas shared the update on X, noting the product has been prepared for

According to Jin10, WTI crude oil futures for August delivery rose $1.20 to $79.34 per barrel on July 14, up 1.54%, while Brent crude oil futures for September delivery gained $1.43 to $84.73 per barrel, up 1.72%.