Global TradFi & Macroeconomics

Focus on price action and volatility across stocks, bonds, forex, commodities, and major indices. Analyze macro indicators like interest rates, inflation, employment, and policy expectations to decode global liquidity shifts, risk sentiment, and cross-market correlations.
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Hyperscalers Gain 29bp Bond Rate Discount in AI Boom, CEPR Reports

The Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) published a report on January 13 (local time) introducing the term 'hyperium' to describe the funding advantage hyperscalers enjoy in bond markets. Economists from the Bank of Italy authored the study, which analyzed bond yields of hyperscalers —
AMZN1.65%
MSFT-0.21%
ORCL3.54%
GateMacroTradfiHub·10-18 22:45
Hyperscalers Gain 29bp Bond Rate Discount in AI Boom, CEPR Reports

Fed Holds Through October With 83.9% Probability, CME Survey Shows

According to CME's "Fed Watch" tool, as of October 19, the Federal Reserve has an 83.9% probability of maintaining rates through October, with a 16.1% chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike. For December, the probability of holding rates drops to 8.2%, while a 25-basis-point hike carries a 77.3% proba
CME-4.73%
GateNews·10-18 21:58
Fed Holds Through October With 83.9% Probability, CME Survey Shows