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FED FOMC decision countdown in July: Why markets are betting on a “hawkish pause”? Bonds, oil prices, and Bitcoin face a key test

At 12:00 a.m. on July 30 (Beijing time), the Fed will release its July FOMC meeting decision. This will be the second FOMC meeting since Fed Chair Kevin Wosch took office, and it may well be the most difficult to predict in recent years. The CME FedWatch tool shows that, as of July 29, the probability that the market is pricing in the Fed keeping the policy rate unchanged in the 3.50% to 3.75% range is 70.6%, and the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike is 29.4%. This probability structure
XTIUSD2.29%
XBRUSD2.45%
BTC-1.88%
GateInstantTrends·07-29 09:08
FED FOMC decision countdown in July: Why markets are betting on a “hawkish pause”? Bonds, oil prices, and Bitcoin face a key test