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The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 92.2%

Monetary Policy

2026-02-12 22:02:00

ChainCatcher message, according to Jinshi reports, CME "Federal Reserve Watch" shows a 92.2% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until March, and a 7.8% chance of a 25 basis point cut. By April, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 25.3%, the probability of holding rates steady is 73.1%, and the probability of a total 50 basis point cut is 1.6%. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 49.9%.

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ABigHeart

· 02-13 01:02

CME “Federal Reserve Watch” shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged until March is 92.2%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 7.8%. By April, the probability of a total 25 basis point rate cut is 25.3%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 73.1%, and the probability of a total 50 basis point cut is 1.6%. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point rate cut is 49.9%.

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