The Kelly formula is: betting proportion = win rate − loss rate ÷ win/loss ratio. The odds refer to the ratio between the amount earned from one win and the amount lost from one loss.
For example, with a 60% win rate, earning 1x on a win and losing the amount wagered on a loss, 60% minus 40% divided by 1 equals 20% of the principal wagered each time.
Over 100 trials, winning 60 times and losing 40 times, with only the betting proportion changed.
Betting 10% each time turns the principal into approximately 4.5 times its original size. Betting 20% each time produces approximately 7.5 times the o

Everyone is missing the short setup forming right now on $ZEC /USDT.

$ZEC /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 1358.40 – 1378.92
SL: 1496.65
TP1: 1272.67
TP2: 1208.68
TP3: 1112.69

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is bullish yet the 1h price sits at 1368.66, the entry_ref, while the 15m RSI reads 70.02, signaling short-term exhaustion. The 1h ATR of 41.021443 shows the asset is volatile enough to fuel a sharp move toward the entry zone between 1358.40 and 1378.92. If price rejects this zone, the first target is TP1 at 1272.67, with a deeper slide to TP2 at 1208.68. The invalidation le

The influence of Indian bastards in Web3 is really huge.🤣🤣
Once ARC turned on the video during the livestream, everyone took one look and hurried to sell the coins they were holding and run for it, run for it.
Anyone who’s been in crypto a little longer knows how projects by Indian bastards usually turn out. I farmed one project before and received an airdrop of a dozen or so USDT over half a year.
I thought ARC would become the next Robinhood, but unexpectedly it was over in just one day. I only played a few of them, and they all went to zero…

The Fed’s rate hike has been implemented—will BTC and ETH continue to trade sideways at low levels?
The dot plot indicates that a more aggressive pace of rate hikes will follow.
The Fed’s rate hike has finally been implemented, with the expected 25-basis-point hike. The dot plot also clearly signaled that another hike is highly likely before the end of this year. Stimulated by this news, the U.S. dollar surged, while BTC came under pressure and edged lower, but did not break below its previous low.
I previously told everyone that this round of Fed rate hikes was essentially locked in at 25 bas

$PI upgraded to 28 today.

GM ☀️
This is a GM post

#ARC — A New Coordination Layer for Arc’s Financial Network
The launch of Arc Mainnet has brought renewed attention to the proposed ARC token, a concept designed around coordination, participation, and long-term network development. Arc is an open Layer-1 blockchain developed for financial markets, real-time value movement, stablecoin-based applications, tokenized assets, and emerging agentic economic activity. The public mainnet went live on September 16, 2026, with USDC used for network gas fees and transaction finality designed to occur in under a second.
The important point for the commu

Rate hikes resume after two pauses! Gold under pressure, BTC's bad news fully priced in, and the Magnificent Seven in U.S. stocks are splitting up🔥
The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points as expected in September, bringing the rate to 4%! Rate hikes were paused twice consecutively in June and July, and this time tightening resumed after a period of observation. The rate hike had already been priced in by the market; the real key to the market's direction is whether further hikes will follow this year!
🥇Gold｜Rising interest rates are suppressing gold prices, making short-term choppy weakness

$ICP /USDT Perp – "Bullish Continuation – Long"**
**Trading Plan Long $ICP
Entry: 2.560
SL: 2.520
TP1: 2.578
TP2: 2.600
Explanation: ICP is up +1.99% and recovering from the 2.433 low, testing the 2.578 yellow resistance. MACD is positive (DIF above DEA). Buying the current breakout targets the 2.584 high, with an extension to 2.600. SL below the 2.544 purple support.

Netizen:
Speaking of Baidu, let me share a true story about Luo Yonghao and me. Around 2010 or 2011, when Luo Yonghao was involved in the Siemens incident, I said something to Luo on [the platform], with good intentions. After seeing that my verified identity was as a technical manager at iQIYI, Luo Yonghao began attacking my employer, iQIYI. Then, after discovering that Baidu had invested in iQIYI, he said Baidu had found the mastermind and an employee—me—to specifically target him, insult him, and attack Baidu, calling all Baidu and iQIYI employees trash.

#Mid-AutumnFestival 🌕 Mid-Autumn Festival: A Season of Connection, Gratitude & New Opportunities
The Mid-Autumn Festival is one of the most meaningful traditional celebrations, symbolizing reunion, gratitude, togetherness, and the beauty of sharing. As the full moon lights up the night sky, people around the world come together with family, friends, and communities to celebrate meaningful connections and look forward to new beginnings.
For the crypto community, this season can also represent something beyond celebration — an opportunity to connect, create, share knowledge, and grow together.

#Arc生态热门代币波动加剧 +#Gate广场中秋团圆局
Arc Is Live — The First Wave Is Already Explosive
ARC IS LIVE — AND THE FIRST WAVE IS ALREADY GETTING EXTREME
Circle’s Arc officially went live on September 16, and Gate supported the ecosystem from day one. What makes Arc especially interesting is that this is not simply another new blockchain chasing attention. Arc is designed around financial infrastructure, with USDC as its native gas asset, deterministic finality targeted at under one second, EVM compatibility and a strong focus on payments, trading, DeFi, FX and tokenized real-world assets. Circle says more

I didn’t make any judgment call; I just held it a little longer and didn’t expect it to actually deliver.
When I opened the chart this morning, $HEMI was bottoming without breaking down, while funds quietly entered. I said longs could follow, but don’t chase the long entry too aggressively.
From 0.005583 to 0.006442, floating profit reached +303.17%. Those already on board should have woken up smiling—it was worth staying up for.
Take most of the profits off the table first: lock in 80%, and protect the remaining 20% at the entry price. Move the stop-loss closer to the entry price.
The prereq

The guy she told you not to worry about

#美联储三年来首次加息25个基点
The Fed’s 25 bps Rate Hike: What Could It Mean for Crypto and Global Markets?
The Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates by 25 basis points after three years has once again placed monetary policy at the center of global financial-market discussions.
While the rate hike itself was widely watched, investors are now paying even closer attention to what comes next. The key question is whether this is a one-time adjustment or the beginning of another period of tighter monetary policy.
The latest projections suggest that some Federal Reserve officials still see the pos

Rate Hike Delivered as Expected! How Will Gold / BTC / U.S. Stocks’ Magnificent Seven Perform Going Forward?🔥
The Fed delivered a 25-basis-point rate hike in September, bringing interest rates to 4% and resuming tightening after pausing rate hikes twice in June and July.
Key point: The rate hike itself had already been priced in by the market. What will truly determine the market’s direction is the post-meeting guidance—will there be another rate hike this year?
🥇Gold: Short-term pressure, but long- and medium-term support remains.
✅Short-term logic: Higher interest rates and rising real Tre

CPI is once again being used as evidence that “inflation has cooled”—but it doesn’t count these things at all.
Zero Hedge cited an analysis by Karl-Friedrich Israel pointing out that the U.S. median home price has reached $440,600, while median annual household income is approximately $84,000—and this gap continues to widen. Yet these are precisely what CPI’s basket excludes.
For traders, the implication is straightforward: a lower CPI does not mean the cost of living is declining, much less that the Federal Reserve has room to cut interest rates. Treating CPI as the only indicator is like vie

$COTI about to get send hard