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#BTCBreaksPastMidtermBearishPattern
Bitcoin Just Broke Its 12-Year Midterm Bearish Pattern: This Time Is Different
For 12 years, Bitcoin followed the same midterm script. Fall before the vote, crash in Q4, then rally a year later.
This time, Bitcoin broke the pattern.
Verified Historical Pattern:
Bitcoin fell in the fourth quarter of each of the last three U.S. midterm election years, yet traded higher one year after every vote, according to an analysis by Joe Consorti.
Bitcoin's fourth-quarter losses were 17.3% in 2014, 43.5% in 2018 and 14.8% in 2022.
Over the longer historical comparis
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BTC-0.67%
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🇺🇸 According to Kalshi, the favorite in its prediction markets won 479 of 487 U.S. midterm election races, a 98% success rate, with odds set before vote counting began. The platform says it outperformed polls and forecasting models.
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KALSHI+0.00%
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Trenches
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STONK
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HIGH
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MR PRODUCER TAKE ME AWAY 🧹
$BTC
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BTC-0.67%
🎁 Discuss stocks, win GT & USDT, and get featured
The Gate Square Stock Discussion Season has begun.
Which stocks are you watching? Share why you’re optimistic, why you’re waiting, or a summary of your latest trades.
💰 Quality insights earn rewards: The top 3 creators are selected each day, and each receives 5 USDT + an official feature.
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🎁 Register to receive a 10 USDT Stock Futures Position Voucher. The first 1,000 eligible n
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GT-2.41%
BREAKING: Snapchat introduces new feature, the disappearing share price.
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$TRUMP Currently at 1.277, down 19.69% over 24H (1.218–1.604). Both the 1H and 4H timeframes are weak, with RSI at 19.22 and 12.37, respectively. The current price is below both EMA20s. The 1H volume ratio is 0.29. If the price holds above the 1.604 resistance, continuation can be monitored; if it breaks below the 1.218 support, it may weaken in the short term. In the follow-up review, check whether 1.604 holds and whether the price can recover after losing 1.218. The volume ratio is 0.29x, so a break of either level requires confirmation from participation; a break that cannot be recovered wo
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TRUMP-0.95%
zcash:native #ZEC #ZECUSD
ZEC SELL SETUP SUCCESSFUL 🎯
ZEC short positions were initially opened around $1,312.
After the initial entry, ZEC moved up towards $1,350.
The plan was clear: add more short positions from the $1,350 area.
Exactly as planned, ZEC rejected from that area.
Additional short positions were added, and ZEC has now reached our target area of $1,276.
Another successful setup according to the TA plan!
TA CLICKED! 🎯
ZEC+1.29%
$XBRUSD ‌
Why did Brent fall below $100?
Brent fell more than 4% in January contracts, dropping to around $98.76 on November 4th. This is the first time it has fallen below $100 since early October. The three-session decline indicates a rapid repricing of the geopolitical risk premium embedded in oil prices.
This isn't just a technical level; it's a combination of structural shifts in supply expectations and post-election market reassessment.
What's returning to normal on the supply side?
The US energy statistics agency forecasts that Middle East crude oil production will increase in the comi
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XBRUSD-9.19%
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I use AI daily, but there are 5 things I never trust it with blindly.
1. Financial decisions: AI can offer insights, but my money choices are mine.
2. Private information: Convenience isn't a reason to share sensitive data.
3. Fact-checking: AI can be wrong, so verify important claims.
4. Personal relationships: AI doesn't know the whole story. I make my own decisions.
5. Medical advice: AI can explain, but serious health concerns need a qualified doctor.
Use AI as a tool, not as your final authority. Question the answers, verify the facts, and think for yourself.
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Are you on board yet? Last chance to get in—word on the street is that major institutions have already entered, and BTC is about to take off!
AI sector: Anthropic’s IPO date is becoming clearer, marking a new stage in the commercialization of AI. For the crypto market, this is not just positive for sentiment; it is also an important indicator of capital flows.
In short, Anthropic’s IPO is imminent. Watch for the valuation anchoring effect.
Investing is the monetization of knowledge. Staying rational amid the noise and focusing on underlying fundamentals rather than short-term volatility is the
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Someone close to Jensen Huang is alleged to have ties to Chinese intelligence. U.S. intelligence reportedly briefed Trump about it a year ago, but nothing was done because Nvidia was too important. The absurdity is that the CEO of a chip company has become a buffer in geopolitical power plays. Maybe I’ve got it wrong. I’ll wait to be proven wrong.
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NVDA-3.03%
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The ninth and tenth trades yesterday were at a little after one and a little after two, respectively. The ninth was a mean-reversion quant trade; its unrealized profit has exceeded 5 points, and the stop has already been moved to breakeven, so at minimum it should capture a few points. The tenth was a trend-following quant trade, and the position has already been reduced. Since yesterday, 10 trades in total, with 1 loss#Gate安全卫士免费开通
$RNBW
RNBW Jumps 25% To $0.02122 - Base Wallet Token Bounces From $0.012 Low
Live print:
Price $0.02122, high $0.02257, low $0.01697, vol 1.01M RNBW, turnover $19.10K. MA5 0.01843, MA10 0.01716, MA30 0.02055. Bottom $0.01241, top $0.03817. Today +2.07%, 7d +26.69%, 30d -12.39%, 90d +46.65%, 180d -8.89%, 1y 0%. Order flow 51.77% long vs 48.23% short. Base Eco.
Chart map:
Price above MA5 and MA10, near MA30. Support $0.0184 - $0.0171 zone, next $0.01241 low. Lose $0.0171 opens $0.015. First resist $0.02055 (MA30), strong $0.02257 (24h high), top wall $0.03817 ATH. For more up, close above $0.02
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RNBW-9.72%
#QualcommAndArmEarningsInFocus
- Qualcomm and Arm Earnings Today: Why $QCOM and $ARM Will Decide The Next Chip Rebound
All eyes are on two names today. $QCOM and $ARM.
Qualcomm shares are in focus on Wall Street on Wednesday, November 4, as the semiconductor manufacturer prepares to announce its fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 financial results after the US stock market closes.
This is not a normal earnings day. This is the day that decides if the chip stocks rebound we saw yesterday continues, or fails.
Verified Earnings Setup:
$QCOM Qualcomm:
• Q3 FY2026 Recap: Qualcomm reported revenue of $9.9
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QCOM+5.60%
ARM-5.13%
NVDA-3.03%
AVGO-1.92%
AMD+0.88%
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BTC FT GOLD NIGHT TRENDS
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LIVE73
$PI The interim bottom retest is in. As I said, the next level is 0.1788, but Pi can’t outperform RAY. With UNi and the others, manage how much of the gains you take yourself. Catch this wave and enjoy the gains. Pi, let me tell you again: 0.07 was the first deep dip, and 0.071 was the second retest. I’m certain—the chart shows it’s at a historic low.
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PI-0.60%
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AI Trading, Keep Going Unyieldingly
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LIVE79
hot take:
from what ive seen on the timeline it looks like democrats will go after ai companies and slow data center build outs so all those trillions of dollars will flock back to strong companies that aren’t super into ai
based on the vibes right now eli lily looks like it’s gonna become the next apple in the sense that it’s a safe haven asset that all the late micron, skhynix, intel, neo clouds money can flock into
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AAPL+5.39%
MU-6.98%
INTC-3.66%
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Why I think the selling in $CIFR is enough
If we look at the projected breakdown and distribution top and the measured move once it lost that support channel at $13, we've now at the measured move downward. At the same time, strength indicators like the DSS Bresser and TMO are both as low as they've ever been while we're retesting a 4-year trendline at the same time we're backtesting the 0.786 fib and the monthly ichimoku
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CIFR-20.13%
It’s been a long time since we’ve been up $30k in a day. Wishing you all continued gains!
I warned about the risks a few days ago, and announced the signs of a bottom the day before yesterday. Those of you who follow me should all be making money today, right?
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