$DODOX surged from 0.0203 to 0.0249 over the past 24 hours, with $21 million in trading volume—enough to rank it among the leaders across the entire altcoin market. But don’t rush to chase the rally just yet. I finished reviewing last night’s full FOMC meeting minutes, and they contained three more hawkish phrases than the market expected. Interest-rate futures show the probability of a June rate cut falling from 58% to 41%, directly capping the upside potential of risk assets.
I pulled data from the past three months and ran a regression: Bitcoin’s correlation coefficient with the Nasdaq is

BTC-0.48%

NAS1000.58%

GLDX1.02%

PAXG1.11%

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Whales

41m ago

Yo @ unblock my boys at Solstice or else we will blame you for the $SLX price action

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BrotherShanQuantitativeTrading

19m ago

Over the past week, the spot ETFs for $BTC and $ETH saw combined net inflows of approximately $1.11B, yet $BTC still failed to achieve a meaningful breakout. The money did come in, so why did the price barely move? Because while the ETFs are buying, someone else is selling. It could be long-term holders taking profits or whales and institutions rebalancing their positions. Some capital may also be buying ETFs while shorting futures to profit from the basis, so ETF inflows do not represent entirely pure long positions. The newly released CPI data also came fully in line with expectations, pr

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VoidShouter:

ETF inflows are not purely bullish by nature. The basis-arbitrage portion is indeed highly misleading, so funding rates are much more reliable than inflow figures.

mcto

1h ago

🧵#CPIWatch,BetOrWait? - Bet or Wait?
1/
CPI day. 🎯
Core CPI was expected at +0.2% MoM.
And now the data is in: +0.2%, exactly in line with expectations. Headline CPI came in at +0.1% MoM / +3.4% YoY.
2/
So the big question:
Is June's unusually low inflation reading a turning point — or just noise?
3/
The answer today:
➡️ No major inflation shock.
➡️ No major disinflation surprise.
That's generally supportive for risk assets because the Fed gets more room to remain data-dependent.
4/
For BTC:
🟢 Cooler than expected → bullish
🟡 In line → neutral/bullish
🔴 Hotter → yields ↑ → BTC risk-off

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MatthewDixon

1h ago

Looking at the last two #BTC halving cycles, something interesting stands out.
#Bitcoin recorded a major cycle low:
• 513 days before the 2020 halving
• 516 days before the 2024 halving
Just a 3-day variation.
The next Bitcoin halving is expected around April 2028.
If, and it's a big IF, that timing relationship persists, a comparable cycle low would fall around November 2026.
Interestingly, that aligns closely with my existing Elliott Wave work pointing towards a potential Q4 2026 low.
Two observations don't make a statistical law, but when independent methods begin pointing towards the same

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jy2023

1h ago

#Bots I'm trading SKHYNIXUSDT with the Futures Grid bot on Gate. Join me!

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Defi小矿工

53m ago

Does everyone still remember the computer Wang Sicong had assembled in 2021 for one million?
Because of rising memory and hard drive prices, this computer is now worth approximately 1.2 million😅

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ChopTradoor

1h ago

I just noticed now but ChatGPT models literally SOL LUNA TERRA lmeowwwwww
OpenAI lads also paying homage to crypto innit kek

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LUNA-15.06%

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Luna_Star

1h ago

📈 Stock trading is no longer a solo journey. Gate helps turn your market insights into opportunities!
🔮 From discovering opportunities and sharing insights to executing trades —
Gate's social stock experience gets a major upgrade, making every market view visible and every trade more connected through real-time discussions!
🔥 Square Features
• One-click trade sharing, showcase your strategies and results with data-driven insights
• Topics are automatically linked with market cards, and trending discussions are synced on K-line pages to help you catch market trends faster
👉 Try it now: http

GateLive2026-08-12 12:58:56

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ShenYuning

1h ago

August 12 Evening BTC Analysis
After a short-term surge and pullback, BTC has entered a range-bound shakeout, with a ceiling above and a floor below.
BTC is moving along the lower Bollinger Band on the 4-hour chart amid declining volume, while the RSI is around 42 and weak. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have pushed up oil prices, intensified global inflation concerns, and pressured risk assets across the board. In the short term, 64450 is strong resistance, while the 64000 moving average provides support.
I suggest shorting around 64200–64400, with a target of 629–632.

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ENjoy

52m ago

Arbitrum (ARB) is trading at approximately $0.080 USD .
📊 Key Market Metrics
1. 24-Hour Change: Up +0.6% to +2.3%
2. 2. 24-Hour Trading Volume: ~$37 Million – $40 Million USD
3. Market Capitalization: ~$530 Million USD (Circulating Supply: ~6.61 Billion ARB)
4. 24-Hour Range: $0.078 – $0.081 USD
🚀 Key Ecosystem & Technical Developments
1. ArbOS Elara Upgrade Approved: ArbitrumDAO passed the ArbOS Elara upgrade, quadrupling the Stylus smart contract size limit to 96 KB and giving Offchain Labs flexible L2 base-fee management.
2. Real-World Assets (RWA) Expansion: Tokenized assets on Ar

ARB-1.94%

ONDO-1.27%

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ThisIsTranslateContent::

Just send it 👊

ray

30m ago

Imagine when $SOL goes to $100+

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LuHong

1h ago

CPI data came in as expected, U.S. stocks opened higher as anticipated, and the memory chip sector surged.
However, the biggest recent change in the market is that the correlation between crypto and U.S. stocks has become increasingly unreliable. Using U.S. stock movements to predict crypto prices can easily lead to losses.
Tonight’s higher open is driven more by short-term sentiment, so beware of the risk of a pullback after the rise.
It is not advisable to chase trades in the near term. Continue positioning based on a range-bound strategy. Many people repeatedly lose money in choppy markets

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GT-0.74%

ETH0.55%

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TeamLAMBO

1h ago

$NBIS Back at the major resistance, iHnS possible oon D1.
Break above 230 almost guarantees a move towards 240 and then subsequently 250 and 266 on HTF.

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PepetoshiNakamoto

1h ago

would you mint this Frog for $1?

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Pilotok

31m ago

Wan Chai “Tiger Tail” Vice Crackdown: 7 Mainland Women Holding Two-Way Permits Arrested
On the afternoon of August 12, the Wan Chai District Special Duties Squad, together with the Immigration Department’s Task Force, launched a vice crackdown codenamed “Tiger Tail.” Officers conducted surprise raids on multiple upstairs units in the areas around Lockhart Road, Hennessy Road, and Bowrington Road.
A total of 7 Mainland women, aged between 28 and 52, were arrested during the operation. All had entered Hong Kong on Two-Way Permits and were suspected of violating their conditions of stay. They are

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LaoGaoUltimate

10m ago

The evening market movement largely matched expectations. The rebound was under our control, and we have consistently emphasized short positioning at higher levels recently. The current pullback has now provided nearly 900 points of room! #GateLaunchpool瓜分141万枚DOS $BTC

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