The probability of a Fed rate hike in November may have been 50%, but has now fallen to 13%. What does this mean?
#美国9月PPI大超预期
$BTC

$HBAR #HBAR
Preparing for breakout of the Falling Wedge on Weekly chart.
Breakout could provide 150-200% rise during coming weeks ✍️

#美股存储板块跌幅扩大 #作手分析
🔥 SNDK weakens for 4 consecutive weeks! Down about 32% from 1909—is the memory cycle really turning?
Trading focus: $SNDK $MU $NVDA
Recently, the decline in U.S. memory stocks has intensified noticeably.
SNDK has weakened for 4 consecutive weeks on the weekly chart. It hit an intraday high of $1909.48 on September 22, then closed at $1299.30 on October 16, down about 32% from its recent high.
From the massive AI memory rally to the consecutive declines now, the market is repricing the sector.
Many people ask me: Isn't AI demand still strong? Why are memory stocks falling

Kangaroos 🦘 are just deer 🦌 who went to prison

$GTC This 13% run-up was a bit too sharp. I’m still holding the unrealized profit on my long from 0.24, but my hand is hovering over the add button. Let’s be clear: the current price is 0.2591, the 24h high is 0.2832 and the low is 0.2187, with $110 million in trading volume—volume is there, but an upper wick has already formed. Chasing the price is just serving yourself up to the market manipulators.
My full plan has two parts. First, scale into longs on a pullback to the 0.248-0.252 range. This area lines up with the 0.382 retracement of the rally and a retest of the breakout above the previ

After each major scandal in the cryptocurrency industry, many people think that the industry is finished.
Then, somehow, an entirely unexpected narrative emerged, creating another wealth effect and bringing the cryptocurrency industry back on track.
2018: The ICO crash. Everything went to zero.
2019: A dead market. Betting on altcoins, perpetual contracts, and mainnet announcements.
2020: The Summer of DeFi. Yield farms, crazy pump-and-dump schemes, overnight riches, and a blanket exit.
2021: L1/L2 Craze. Solana, BNB Chain, NFTs
2022: LUNA, FTX, utter destruction. Cryptocurrency was declared d

$XMR - Update
Looking for shorts if we get the test at $690 as mapped out.

$ERA #ERA
Testing crucial resistance from verge of Triangle.
Breakout could provide 100-110% Bullish Rally ✍️

Kitty has been obsessed with building Gundam kits lately, but always puts them together backwards... HG kits only have a few movable joints, and she’s never gotten one right... Either she presses too hard with her gorilla-grip fingers and snaps it (like this blue tiger, which ended up one-armed), or she assembles it backwards and just glues it in place😂... Daban kits that cost just over ten yuan may not be as well made as Bandai’s, but they shouldn’t be impossible to assemble... This tyrannical approach to model building has really opened my eyes😂...

There don’t seem to be any holidays coming up in the next few months, and I can’t make any money either, so I’m just going to start celebrating Chinese New Year now.
​
Wishing you all a Happy New Year in advance!

$HBAR has reached 0.08907 USDT, close to the 1-hour resistance at 0.08977, but has not broken through. It rose 7.18% in 24 hours, which seems somewhat unusual because the price has moved, but volume has not clearly followed. The current price is close to the 1-hour support at 0.08209, while the 1-hour resistance remains ahead.
This makes me more inclined to think this rise in $HBAR is more of a tentative move. The price has reached the area just below resistance, but whether it can break through remains to be seen. If the price can hold above 0.08977, that would be a good opportunity to watch.

🛢️ 2.32 million tonnes. A 20-year record.
Spain imported that amount of Venezuelan crude oil between January and August 2026: the highest figure since 2006. And Repsol already operates a joint venture with the goal of increasing production.
This isn’t a distant issue for P2P. Oil is the backdrop to everything happening with the dollar, interest rates, and the finances of anyone buying USDT. Here’s how it’s connected:
💱 Pressure on the official exchange rate: more crude sold = more foreign currency coming in. That shifts expectations around the BCV and, in turn, the P2P premium.
🏦 Liquidity

ERA just printed +9.93% and is sitting right on the MA7 at 0.0753 after rejecting 0.0800. Volume still elevated. Who’s still asleep on this?
$ERA ‌

2026-10-18
I stayed up until morning before going to bed, watching SanDisk inexplicably “crash” at some random hour and drag us down to 808, too. The good news is that 808 looks like a textbook 2B bottom (a double-pin bottom) on the 1-hour chart, and it also looks like some whales are defending the price. The bad news is that when we were at 816xx last night, I completely lost my nerve and shut down the U-margined and coin-margined grid bots I’d started later, so I missed this rebound😂... The feed was terrifying to watch. I looked at it for an hour or two last night, and it made me feel like

I just realized I haven’t posted anything today
But I’ve decided to post at least one update on my AI research progress every day
So I’ll post something from the archives
“Black Hole Safe”
A tool for locally storing account passwords, API keys, and wallet addresses
AES-256-GCM encryption, using PBKDF2 to derive the key from the master password
Encrypted JSON backup export and import, pre-write snapshots, and recovery from write failures
Personally, I think a purely local safe that doesn’t depend on third parties is quite secure and convenient. It’s definitely better than casually saving everyt

If I were the big player—different perspectives series#ETH

(Personal views; not investment advice)
If I were the big player, the weekend would be the best time to build liquidity. I’d only need to let the price chop around here, and retail traders would naturally stack liquidity on both sides... From around 17:00, the price was pulled up from 2400 to around 2420. How many people chased longs? Grinding hard within this price range has a few benefits:
1、让这批追多的失去耐心..他们的止损会慢慢的往上挪...2405->2415->2418（小时k、30分钟k的最低价）...超短的散户总是耐不住寂寞..怕回踩怕破位怕上涨动能不够...
2、让昨天2450做空下