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TapeOut Daily Observations | October 21
Scattered transistors are starting to be pooled, and concrete buyback records for trading fees have emerged; meanwhile, differences in rights among circuits under the same contract have also served as a reminder to the secondary market👇
① Blonskr launches “Official Optimal Mining Pool” initiative
On October 20, Blonskr proposed pooling scattered TapeOut and Behemoth transistors to try to build an optimal mining rig, then distribute the rights to the proceeds among participants.
The proposal plans to record contributions on a “1 transistor = 1 revenue ce
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BNB+1.53%
Good morning, everyone. The broader market is still moving sideways overall today. BTC is once again attempting to break above $83,000, but whether it can truly hold there remains the short-term market signal most worth watching.
The broader market has tested $83,000 several times before but has yet to break through decisively and hold above it, indicating that the current rebound remains limited. If it still cannot hold above this level this time, the market is likely to return to its previous range, and investors will continue to wait and see.
It is worth noting that as the sideways movement
BTC+1.09%
ETH+1.76%
SOL+1.03%
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Urgent warning! $SKHYNIX The market maker is sharpening its knives—are 360 million in shorts about to be wiped out?!
The trend is a raging tiger; going against it means getting liquidated. Capital is lighting the fuse—follow the market maker and reap big gains!
The market picture is crystal clear: the big players are intent on squeezing shorts! Korean stocks are up 7%, sentiment is surging, and whales with 360 million in short positions are all trapped, while the liquidation map shows a graveyard of shorts above 1000! Capital is flowing in aggressively. My take: don’t go against the trend and
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SKHYNIX+5.09%
  • 5
10.21 Market Conditions Analysis
ETH Silk Road Reference Setup
Rebound range: quivering near 2420--2440
Angelica shoot: 2400
First target: 2475, second target: 2490
After an earlier rapid surge to a high of 2477.75, the price pulled back. The surge formed a long upper wick, indicating strong selling pressure around 2477; the price then entered a choppy correction, stabilized near moving-average support, and rebounded. It is currently fluctuating around 2452.
- Resistance above: 2470~2477 (previous high resistance zone, first target of this rebound)
- Support below: 2440 (recent swing low and s
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BTC+1.09%
ETH+1.76%
#StriveHoldingsRiseTo36818BTC #每周来晒 #WCTCS9 $BTC ‌Strive's bitcoin ledger: four weeks of buying, a fresh $630M war chest and what it means at $83,008
BTC is near $83,008 today, and Strive's treasury now stands at 36,818 BTC. Instead of repeating the headline, I read the company's filings line by line, like a ledger. Here is what the entries say about the pace of buying and about what could come next.
The weekly ledger
Strive's SEC filings show a clear acceleration:
- September 14 to 18: 1,355 BTC at an average of about $79,475.
- September 28 to October 2: 2,000 BTC at about $84,422.
- Octobe
Falcon_Official
#StriveHoldingsRiseTo36818BTC #WCTCS9 Strive now holds 36,818 BTC: the numbers behind the accumulation, and what they can and cannot tell the market
Strive's Bitcoin treasury just crossed 36,800 BTC, and with BTC near $81,791 the question is whether steady corporate buying changes market expectations. Here is the data first, then my read.
The purchases
Strive added 1,223 BTC between October 14 and 16 for roughly $100 million, at an average of about $81,734 per coin. That follows 2,822 BTC bought on October 12 and 13 for $235 million. Together, 4,045 BTC were acquired between October 12 and 16 for about $335 million, at an average of roughly $82,803 per coin including fees and expenses.
The holdings jump
Holdings rose from 29,462 BTC before the three recent transactions to 36,818 BTC, an increase of about 25%. At today's $81,791, the stack is worth roughly $3.01 billion by my math. That puts Strive ahead of MARA Holdings' reported 35,577 BTC treasury.
My math on the week's cost basis
The latest 1,223 coins were bought at $81,734, so at $81,791 they sit almost exactly at breakeven, up about $70,000. The full 4,045 BTC blended at $82,803 is about 1.2% above today's price, an unrealized paper loss near $4.1 million. That is small against a $335 million purchase, and it shows Strive was buying near the middle of a volatile week, not at the lows. The overall cost basis of all 36,818 BTC has not been disclosed.
How it was funded
This matters as much as the buying. Strive raised about $369 million through warrant exercises and issued 13.7 million common shares. It also priced a $630 million offering of 15% SATS preferred stock on October 15, set to settle October 20. The 15% annual dividend rate adds an ongoing financial obligation. By my calculation, that is about $94.5 million a year on $630 million. If all of it were deployed at today's price, it would buy roughly 7,700 BTC, though the company has not said how the proceeds will be used.
One reassuring detail: holdings rose 12.3% over the period, keeping bitcoin per share broadly unchanged, so existing shareholders were not significantly diluted in BTC terms.
The race for position
CEO Matt Cole said the company could finish 2026 as the second-largest public Bitcoin holder, behind Strategy's 848,250 BTC. The next target is Twenty One Capital, which held 43,514 BTC in early October, a gap of roughly 6,700 BTC. The Block notes Strive would need to acquire an average of around 700 BTC per week to surpass Metaplanet's stash.
The scale of the buying
Strive's five-day pace works out to about 809 BTC per day. At the current 3.125 BTC block subsidy, miners produce about 450 BTC a day, so Strive absorbed roughly 1.8 times daily issuance that week. That is a meaningful demand source. Still, the pace has been uneven, and broader institutional demand remains uncertain.
Does continued accumulation strengthen market expectations
My honest answer is partly. Corporate treasury buying is supportive: it shows large buyers stepping in during weakness, it removes coins from liquid supply, and it feeds a narrative of institutional conviction. But the price record this week shows its limits. BTC ranged from about $79,842 to $84,324 during the very days Strive was buying, and it is still testing the same resistance. Demand of this size supports dips, but it does not by itself set direction.
The risks to the model
First, the funding loop depends on equity markets. Warrant exercises and preferred sales work best when the stock trades well. Second, a 15% dividend is a fixed cost, so lower BTC prices would stress the model. Third, concentration matters, since a few treasury companies have driven a large share of recent demand.
Chart context at $81,791
BTC sits just below resistance at $82,538, with $84,049 to $84,250 above it. Support sits at $81,000 and then the 50-day EMA near $80,443. A daily close above $82,538 would be the first sign that the accumulation story is feeding into price. A close below $80,443 would put $79,694 back in play.
What I will watch next
The settlement of the SATS offering on October 20, the next weekly disclosure of purchases, how much of the new capital goes into BTC, and whether peers such as Strategy and Metaplanet keep buying. The Fed meeting on October 27-28 is the next macro test.
My take
Treasury accumulation is a real tailwind, but it is one input among many. I would treat it as a supportive floor, keep size modest, and wait for price to confirm above $82,538 before leaning bullish.
Share your own view below: does steady corporate buying change your outlook, and which level are you watching.
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BTC+1.05%
10.21 ETH Market Analysis
Long: around 2410-2430, stop loss at 2380, targets 2480/2520.
ETH is currently at 2454. After rising from 2376 last night, it reached a high of 2476, then held in a narrow range above 2450, with only a minimal pullback. This indicates that the market is relatively resilient, with strong buying interest supporting prices below.
Structurally, 2476 is the previous high of this rally and a key short-term resistance level. A breakout on strong volume would open up more room to move higher.
The 2410-2430 area below is a heavily traded zone from this rally and a support band
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ETH+1.76%
South korean Stocks open strong KOSPI Jumps Nearly 2 are chip stocks Ready tp Rally Again
live-cover
LIVE1,574
🏦 The BCV and the Bank of Spain met in Bangkok: technical cooperation on statistics. There were no fresh dollars or credit lines, but for anyone trading USDT in Venezuela, the development still matters.
What was agreed? To define technical assistance on statistics between Venezuela’s central bank and the Bank of Spain, on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund’s Annual Meetings. And just as important as what was announced: what was NOT announced—no change in monetary policy and no new financing.
Why this matters for Venezuelan P2P:
1️⃣ Statistics move the exchange rate. Reliable dat
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Although it gets a little dumbed down, its values are ridiculously on point🥲
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It's understandable that many people today have trouble conceiving.
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$INJ Up +6.27% over 24 hours, with the current price at 9.098 USDT and 1-hour trading participation at just 0.06x. The price has pushed up for a stretch, but buyers willing to step in at this level have yet to show up. That’s the most awkward thing about this chart.
There’s evidence for the bullish case: the 1-hour trend has a bullish bias, and so does the 4-hour trend. At 9.098, the price is in the upper half of the 8.442–9.417 range. But reading both time frames together reveals another layer: the 4-hour strength came from a rise off 8.442, while the latest 1-hour candles pushing toward 9.41
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INJ+5.67%
My real human non crypto account is officially verified and an affiliate of X
Honestly super happy and grateful for that opportunity
The coolest thing about this is that it’s not larp
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Gold still maintains a bearish bias, but I don't plan to short it anymore.
I expect it to be quite tricky. #XAU
XAU-0.59%
10.21 Morning Analysis @$BTC ‌
Yesterday, Bitcoin, ETH, and ZEC all played out as expected, and all long-position targets were hit. Lao Guo’s usual approach: don’t get greedy; take profits when they’re there. Bitcoin gained 1,400 points, ETH 80 points, and ZEC 110 points—profits safely secured. The market continued to cooperate this morning: Bitcoin briefly broke above $83k, while ETH, SOL, and other major coins rebounded in tandem. Risk appetite has clearly recovered, and after pulling back, ZEC is still holding above its previous low. The bulls haven’t lost their rhythm.
Looking at the four
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BTC+1.05%
Iran is going to negotiate again? Don’t be naive—this is simply a dead end. 🚫
The fundamental reason for the prolonged US-Iran standoff is just one thing: they have never truly fought each other. 🥊
Until they have, neither side knows who’s boss, and neither will submit to the other.
The so-called “negotiations” now are all political theater and delaying tactics ⏳
Only after they have truly been hurt and the victor has been determined will there be genuine order and submission.
Geopolitics does not believe in words; it only believes in fists 💣🩸
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✈️ Venezuela as a jet fuel hub: one of the world’s largest fuel trading companies is proposing to turn the country into an aviation fuel supply center for Latin America and the Caribbean. We’re looking at it through our usual lens: What does it mean for the dollar, P2P, and USDT?
The proposal calls for activating the country as a supply point for shipping refined fuels and crude oil to Central America and the Caribbean, reviving a market that has been dormant for years, with a two-way opportunity: supplying the domestic market and exporting to other destinations.
The context is significant: wi
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JPMorgan forecasts Bitcoin to lead returns over the next 10 years? 👀
JPMorgan once opposed Bitcoin, but now the leading Wall Street bank has issued a fairly optimistic forecast for BTC.
• Bitcoin: expected compounded return of 10%/year
• U.S. large-cap stocks: 7.5%/year
• Gold: 5.5%/year
In return, Bitcoin is expected to have volatility as high as 55%, approximately 3.2 times that of gold. JPMorgan has also yet to include BTC in its core portfolio allocation model due to its potentially unstable correlation with other assets.
Personally, I see this as a notable shift in Wall Street’s perspect
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BTC+1.05%
Enel, the world's largest private electricity distributor with 12M customers in Italy alone, sells fractions of solar panels and wind farms on Algorand. Customers use the output to cut their power bills.
@Algorand
ALGO+2.41%
Archax, the first FCA-regulated digital securities exchange, broker and custodian, is bringing more than 100 tokenized securities and RWAs to Aptos. Its first product is MembersCap's tokenized reinsurance income fund.
@Aptos
APT+7.05%
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