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#Gate事件合约晒单挑战 Continue betting that the Fed will not hike rates in September.
Logic and reasons

Current situation: After Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech on August 28, the probability of a September rate hike briefly surged to 65-68%; after Waller publicly questioned the hawkish tone on September 4, it fell back to 50%; today, August nonfarm payrolls came in at 162k, well above expectations of 55k, and the probability of a rate hike rose again to around 57%. So "betting on no hike" is currently a bet against the market direction—the market has tilted slightly toward a hike, but is far fr
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Politics
Fed Decision in September?
25 bps increase
52%1.92x
No change
49%2.04x
$9.58M 24H+3 more
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Why is everyone still long while price action just whispered a secret?

$BNB /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 719.21 – 721.49
SL: 731.29
TP1: 712.15
TP2: 706.68
TP3: 698.48

Why this setup?
- 4h bias is SHORT (55% confidence), and range-bound trading on the 1D means we're not chasing a breakout.
- Price is sitting at 720.35, with TP1 at 712.15 and TP2 at 706.68—that’s a clean 2% drop if the range low breaks.
- RSI on 15m is 52.4—neutral, not oversold, so there's no bounce fuel yet.
- ATR 1h at 4.55 shows enough volatility to hit TP1 within the next few candles if BNB loses 719.21 sup
BNB-0.37%
I’m dying, I just came across a meme:
The three U.S. immortals each have their own trading targets.
Trump trades Brent crude between $70 and $90: when it hits $70, he takes a shot at Iran; when it reaches $90, he tacos.
Bessent watches Treasury yields: when the 30-year Treasury yield hits 5.2%, he unleashes a verbal barrage.
Warsh watches the probability of a September rate hike: when the probability drops to 30%, he takes a hard line; when it rises to 70%, he goes “blah blah.”
The three immortals each do their own thing, independent of one another yet interfering with one another😂
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ETH nets $46.47M inflow while Robinhood Chain leads $100M+ outflows, signaling a shift back toward mainnet L1 activity as Layer 2s see rebalancing flows. $ETH $SOL
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ETH-2.36%
SOL-2.02%
Most traders will fade this $CL /USDT short—until they see the 4h tape.

$CL /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 90.93 – 91.19
SL: 92.32
TP1: 90.11
TP2: 89.48
TP3: 88.53

Why this setup?
Why now? The range-bound 1D trend is the trap. The 4h MTF flips SHORT with a 55 confidence, but the real edge is the asymmetry: entry at 91.06, TP2 at 89.48 (1.7R), while SL at 92.32 caps risk. RSI 15m at 53.7 shows no exhaustion—room to drop. ATR 1h at 0.53 means the move can happen in 3-4 candles, not days. The alt setup (long) is a decoy; the primary path is down.

Debate:
Are you trusting the 4h short wi
CL-0.68%
In the face of the government, even a pile of bullish news has to take a back seat!
Don't be fooled by the mountain of recent bullish news for Bitcoin: Waller issued dovish remarks, U.S. stocks rose, BlackRock continued accumulating, ETF net inflows exceeded $800 million over two days, and the market briefly surged to 82100.
But one nonfarm payrolls report completely rewrote the market logic.
August payrolls increased by 162,000, far above the market expectation of 55,000, with employment data proving unexpectedly strong. The market immediately repriced rate hike expectations, sending Bitcoin
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BTC-1.69%
ETH-2.35%
Trump vs. the Fed: A Cognitive War of “The Better the Data, the More the Market Falls”
Last night, U.S. stocks, gold, and Bitcoin all plunged.
The Dow fell, gold broke below $4,400, and Bitcoin instantly crashed through $80k from $81,600.
Just after the data was released, Trump posted a message praising August nonfarm payrolls as “excellent”—up 162k, versus expectations of just 56k, nearly twice as much.
In theory, with the economy doing so well, stocks should rise.
But what happened? S&P 500 futures fell, the dollar index surged to 99.93, and the September rate-hike probability shown by CME F
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BTC-1.67%
ETH-2.36%
XAU-0.87%
It feels so prestigious to know how to use Codex, a top-tier AI!
I truly felt it today.
I helped my neighbor’s child snag a spot in an extracurricular class.
They couldn’t stop saying how awesome it was.
They insisted on arranging something for tonight.
#Gate60MillionUsers
My first Gate trade still makes me laugh 😂
I remember staring at the chart like I had everything figured out. I saw a move, got excited, and entered without giving much thought to risk.
For a few minutes, everything looked perfect.
Then the market moved against me.
I kept staring at the screen thinking, “It’ll come back.”
Spoiler: it didn’t. 😂
That tiny trade taught me something I still remember today: the market doesn’t care how confident you feel.
Looking back, losing that trade wasn’t the worst part. The funny part was how seriously I thought I knew what I was doing.
No wonder one company shouldn’t dominate—this stingy Claude actually reset my limit after I used 90% of it this week. Well, don’t blame me for going all out with Fable5.1 until next Tuesday.
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Should I make a “U.S. stocks crashed today” post?
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ETH is currently entering a high-level pullback phase, with signals across multiple timeframes gradually coming under pressure. Rebounds on smaller timeframes are mostly corrective moves during the decline, rather than a trend reversal. On the 4-hour timeframe, this adjustment cycle has only reached its midpoint, leaving room for a bottom-reversal signal to emerge. The price is fluctuating near the 4-hour short-term support at 2444, which is currently the key lifeline for the medium-term trend. No strong buying support is visible at present; once this support fails, the pullback could expand f
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ETH-2.36%
I still remember my first trade on Gate. At that time, I was overthinking every price move and checking the chart every few minutes. Looking back, I had a lot to learn, but that first trade started a journey I’ll never forget.
#Gate60MUsers
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Bull-Bear Divide Deepens Around $82K! B.TOP Founder Sells All His BTC and Waits to Buy Back at $70K.
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LIVE340
morning market update
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LIVE643
$PONS 24-hour revenue continues to rise and stabilize, while #PUMP's revenue keeps declining
4-hour candlestick (see screenshot): The previous 2 times both pulled back to the 20 MA before taking off again. This time, it may also pull back to the 20 MA before taking off again. The current 20 MA price is around 0.58, but as time passes, the 20 MA price will gradually rise.
Judging from the revenue, #PONS has no significant negative catalyst. After yesterday's surge in volume, a proper consolidation is also a healthy and normal candlestick trend
0x39dbed3a2bd333467115de45665cc57f813c4571
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PONS-0.31%
PUMP0.00%
【$Lobster Signal】1H pullback support, 4H bullish structure intact, go long
$Lobster rallied to 0.1027 then fell back to 0.0856, with continuous buying support below 0.0850, and the price holding above EMA20_1h. The 1H MACD histogram is -0.0001, with the negative value converging; the 4H MACD histogram is 0.0014, with momentum still intact. Order book depth favors buyers, with a Bid/Ask ratio of 1.11, and the funding rate is 0.0174%, with stable OI.
🎯Direction: Go long
⚡Entry/limit order: 0.0853631 - 0.0856200 range
🛑Stop-loss: 0.0847638
🚀Target 1: 0.0869043
🚀Target 2: 0.0875464
🛡️Trade ma
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龙虾+8.12%
BTC-1.67%
ETH-2.36%
SOL-2.02%
The Robin game has gotten harder—my position bought yesterday was down as much as 80%, and I had to wait all day just to break even…
Bro, do you think I should keep staying in robin and keep P-ing hard?
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#BTCReclaims80K 🚀 BTC Reclaims $80K — Is Bitcoin Ready for Its Next Big Move?
Bitcoin has once again reclaimed the important $80,000 level, bringing fresh optimism back to the crypto market. After recent volatility and selling pressure, BTC’s recovery above this psychological level suggests that buyers are stepping back into the market.
📈Why is $80K important?
The $80K level is more than just a round number. It represents an important psychological and technical zone for Bitcoin. If BTC can hold above $80K and turn this level into strong support, bullish momentum could continue to build.
Wh
BTC-1.67%
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Good morning, $DOGE family ☕️🐕
GM C X 🫡 📊
Happy Saturday, legends! 🙌😎
Dogecoin to the moon! 🚀🌑🥳
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DOGE-3.12%
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