↑$2,600: Probability 84%, odds 1.19x, the market’s most widely held expectation; most participants believe Ethereum will rise above $2,600 in October, with only moderate odds.
↓$2,400: Probability 62%, odds 1.61x, a downside correction level; the odds have risen notably, indicating that a decline is a low-probability event with meaningful trading value.
↑$2,700: Probability 55%, odds 1.82x, an upside breakout level; it has the lowest probability and highest odds, with significant market disagreement over a surge to $2,700

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NEAR remains strong today, with longs outnumbering shorts by 1.9 times.
Whales’ average entry price is around 4.58. Going long remains the main recommendation today—either chase longs at the current price or buy the dip.
If you want to short, you can place a limit order at 6.05. This level is the collective liquidation price, with very high liquidation intensity. If there is an opportunity to capture it, the risk-reward ratio is very attractive. $NEAR ‌

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#以太坊三季度涨超71% A rise does not mean a trend reversal; BTC is testing the true strength of capital flows
The market appears bullish on the surface today, but its structure remains insufficiently strong: BTC, ETH, and SOL are rising in tandem, indicating a recovery in risk appetite; however, capital flows have not fully caught up, and the short-term picture looks more like “prices rebounding first while incremental capital waits for confirmation.”
BTC is currently at 83,742 USDT, up +0.87% over 24 hours; ETH is at 2,544 USDT, up +1.36%, while SOL is up +1.57%, stronger than BTC
In terms of elastic

10.12 Market Analysis
BTC Silk Road Reference Setup
Entry range: around 83200, “duō”
Stop-loss: 82600
First target: 84400; second target: 85000
BTC surged before pulling back, entering a high-level consolidation pattern. The middle Bollinger Band is currently providing effective support, the moving averages remain in a bullish structure, and the MACD histogram continues to show red bars, indicating a pullback and shakeout during the uptrend. Do not chase highs; patiently wait for a pullback before establishing long positions at lower levels. #Gate亮相TOKEN2049 #以太坊三季度涨超71% #CRCL领涨加密股

Why is $LUMIA /USDT about to break the range when everyone expects a bounce?

$LUMIA /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.11350 – 0.11838
SL: 0.13940
TP1: 0.09834
TP2: 0.08661
TP3: 0.06902

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is range-bound, but the 15m RSI sits at 34.96, showing sellers are finally exhausted after the 1h ATR of 0.009776 compressed the volatility into a tight coil. The entry zone between 0.11350 and 0.11838 aligns with the 1h price of 0.11597, giving us a precise trigger at 0.11594 to fade the range. If short sellers push from here, TP1 lands at 0.09834 and TP2 extends

#布局本周交易 #每周来晒 The weekend market is usually in a consolidation phase with relatively weak liquidity, making it suitable to focus on “defense + light-position probing” to prepare for a potential market shift next week. Based on current market conditions, capital flows, and macro expectations, the following are weekend positioning ideas and next week’s market forecast:
I. Weekend Positioning Ideas (Defense First, Light-Position Probing)
1. Bitcoin (BTC): Range trading, combining defense with cautious long positions
Long entry at support: BTC has recently been fluctuating narrowly in the $82,000-

All profits come from market conditions; never go against the market.
My student sometimes trades against the trend and often asks me about it. I ask, “Do you understand the overall trend?” He says yes—he just wanted to take a bite, but got wrecked.
The market moves you look forward to are nothing more than wanting to get rich overnight, but are you prepared? Do you understand trends? Do you understand the market?
If you understand nothing, how can you make profits?
$LUMIA ‌ $GRASS ‌

Holy shit you miss two days and you feel like years went by
How the hell are we doing guys?

10.12 ETH take a light long position near 2520, targeting 2600/2650
A light short position can be taken near 2600, with a stop-loss above 2620
ETH 1H dropped from 2738 all the way to 2405. Although the current price of 2552 has rebounded, the medium- and long-term moving averages are still exerting pressure
2570-2600 is the resistance zone above. If the rebound fails to hold, continue to watch for a pullback.
9 years of trading: don’t catch falling knives during a crash, and don’t blindly chase rebounds.
Look at the position first, then determine the direction; $ETH #ETH

#LedgerLossesNear90Million
🚨 𝗟𝗘𝗗𝗚𝗘𝗥 𝗟𝗢𝗦𝗦𝗘𝗦 𝗡𝗘𝗔𝗥 $𝟵𝟬𝗠 — 𝗪𝗔𝗟𝗟𝗘𝗧 𝗦𝗘𝗖𝗨𝗥𝗜𝗧𝗬 𝗔𝗟𝗘𝗥𝗧 🚨
🔐 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗵𝗮𝗽𝗽𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗱?
Ledger is investigating major crypto losses linked to Southeast Asian reseller CryptoBilis. Ledger confirmed an unauthorized hardware implant was found in one affected device. On-chain estimates put losses above $90M, but the final total remains unconfirmed.
⚠️ 𝗠𝘆 𝗧𝗮𝗸𝗲:
A hardware wallet is only as trustworthy as its supply chain. Even self-custody can carry risks if the device is tampered with before it reaches you.
🛡️ 𝗦𝗮𝗳𝗲𝘁𝘆 𝗙𝗶𝗿

261012 Bitcoin follows weekly chart 2; this time, use the previous low for the long-term stop-loss. Short-term trades must have a stop-loss! BTC resistance levels: 85281/86789/87962 BTC support levels: 82265/80757/79584 ETH resistance levels: 2582/2627/2663 ETH support levels: 2490/2445/2409 Place the stop-loss slightly beyond the third price. Each intraday trade should not exceed 5% of the position. Livestream times: 2:30 PM on Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays, and 8:30 PM every evening. You can find me on my profile. #Ledger攻击均指向CryptoBilis

🌈 Gate Live Livestream Inspiration - October 12
Hot Topic Recommendations:
🔹BTC trades sideways while altcoins quietly take off! MAGIC surges nearly 40%, with L2 and modular sectors taking over—where will funds head next?
🔹South Korea’s stock market suddenly plunges! KOSPI falls more than 2%, with SK hynix leading the decline—will Asian chip stocks cool off collectively?
🔹The $90 million Ledger security incident sees new developments! Officials say only a limited number of devices were affected—can the hardware wallet trust crisis be resolved?
🔹XRP Ledger urgently clarifies the security c

【CKB】Short · Open/Entry Coin: CKB/USDT Direction: 👇👇👇📉 Strategy Type: Market Price 📌 Entry Point: 0.001830—0.001897✔️ Profit Target: 0.001765—0.001650—0.001515❌ Stop-Loss Level: 0.001954Coin: CKB/USDT Direction: 👇👇👇📉 Strategy Type: Market Price 📌 Entry Point: 0.001830—0.001897✔️ Profit Target: 0.001765—0.001650—0.001515❌ Stop-Loss Level: 0.001954

#CRCLLeadsCryptoStocks CIRCLE LEADS THE PACK AS CRYPTO STOCKS EXPLODE — THE STABLECOIN GIANT IS BACK ON TOP*
Wall Street just got a massive crypto wake-up call. Crypto-linked stocks are ripping, and leading the charge is not Coinbase, not MicroStrategy — it is Circle.
*THE NUMBERS THAT SHOCKED THE MARKET ON OCTOBER 9*
On a day when crypto sentiment flipped from fear to greed, crypto equities rose broadly and CRCL dominated:
Circle Internet Group, CRCL — up 7.69 percent — THE LEADER
Coinbase, COIN — up 5.45 percent
Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy, MSTR — up 3.89 percent
Robinhood, HOOD — up 2.

Today, only one question is being tested for $S : whether it can quickly reclaim 0.0463 after breaking below it.
One more point on the event side: the platform announcement reads, “Gate Research: U.S. Stocks Extend Gains, Moscow Exchange to Launch Regulated Crypto Trading.” It can explain the attention, but cannot by itself prove that it caused this round of gains and losses. In the end, it still comes down to whether the key levels hold.
The 1-hour and 4-hour trends are both strong, with RSI at 65 and 76, respectively. The current price is 0.05978, approximately 22.55% above the 1-hour suppor