ETH Watch from a Jerk
The jerk hasn't mentioned Ethereum in a long time.
Cryptocurrencies fell again today. Let's see what the jerk's next move should be. As we can see in the chart, yesterday's decline has pushed ETH's price back into the range of the large bullish candle created on 8.21. In the short term, we should look for rebounds near several midlines. Of course, we also need to be mindful of the possibility of a market breakdown and a direct plunge, in which case the price could crash to around 1900.
In the short term, let's look at rebound levels such as 2370 $ETH

With the same one-day surge, why is $OGN ’s 85% more concerning—and more worth trading—than $RLC ’s 32%?
The answer lies in the structural differences in relative strength. $OGN is currently priced at 0.04242, with MA5=0.04421 having crossed above MA20=0.040797, confirming a bullish moving-average alignment. It is the only one of the three candidates whose price is above both moving averages and whose gain is the strongest. However, note that RSI=60.5 has not entered overbought territory, indicating that this rally has not yet been overextended; the real signal is the funding rate of -0.0217%,

Three aircraft carriers are bearing down, yet Trump calls for a halt! $CL falls to 90.5—who between the bulls and bears is lying?
Three U.S. aircraft carriers are about to arrive in the Middle East. The Pentagon has even drafted the strike plans, but Trump has vetoed them five times, while saying that U.S.-Iran negotiations are “productive.” Saying no while acting otherwise—the aircraft carriers have already set sail.
Geopolitical risks remain, but the situation has not escalated into military action. Oil prices have retreated from 92.88, with the current price at 90.52, below the Bollinger m

A few days ago, my hand trembled as I set the stop-loss; this morning, I realized that was unnecessary filial piety. A few days ago, before bed, I saw $DOGE 's rebound was running out of steam, with clear resistance above and low trading volume—no one would buy into the move. I said it was bullish at the time; the short position's logic was sound.

Managing risk in advance is called rationality; cutting after taking a loss is called decisively cutting off one's own wrist.

Panic comes from having no plan; losses come from overthinking.

Shorted from 0.09586 to 0.08473, +824.58%—nailed it, a

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#USGovernmentAddressesMove$670MInCryptoOver32Hours
The $670 Million U.S. Government Crypto Transfers: What It Means for the Market
A headline reporting approximately $670 million in cryptocurrency movements linked to U.S. government-associated addresses has attracted attention. But my first reaction would not be to assume that $670 million has already been sold. A wallet transfer, an exchange deposit and an executed sale are three different events.
The term “addresses” refers to blockchain wallet addresses reportedly associated with the U.S. government, not a public government announcement ab

10.9 ETH: Open a light short around 2500, with 2540 as the defense level and targets at 2420/2380
For those looking to go long, wait for stabilization around 2410, with 2350 as the defense level and targets at 2480/2520
If ETH breaks below 2405 again, the downside will continue to open up
ETH ETFs have seen outflows for 7 consecutive days, US Treasuries continue to rise, compounded by disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz
After 9 years of trading, I don't chase sharp drops; rebounds are the opportunity to enter
Only by getting the rhythm right can you earn the gains that come la

[Key Financial Data and Events to Watch Today: Friday, October 9, 2026]
$XAUT

The three A-share stocks I have been shorting all along—ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), Innolight Technology, and Yushu Technology—plunged today. It looks like the bubble in A-share tech stocks is about to burst!#CXMT

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$AMP The most unusual point today: 24h rose +22.68%, yet the funding rate failed to match the enthusiasm normally seen from longs, suggesting this move is being driven more by short covering than by new longs actively adding positions. The price is currently 0.000714, holding above MA5 (0.0007088) and MA20 (0.00065895); the MACD histogram at +3.641e-06 remains bullish, RSI at 57.8 has not entered overbought territory, and the Bollinger upper band at 0.000793048 is the first resistance for this move; the amplitude over 30 candles is approximately 42.44%, so the risk of wick-outs is not low, and

Is this really a rebound? Isn't it CPR for my empty account? While $RLC looked limp during the intraday bottoming, funds were quietly entering. It was bottoming without breaking down, and I said one thing at the time: don't short, wait for the signal. The screen was so green it made people panic, but I instead wrote out my plan in even greater detail.
From 0.7663 to 0.8914, +161% is right there on the table. Feels good, brothers. The timing was spot-on, and all the waiting was worth it. This isn't hindsight commentary—the early alert is still fresh. Those who were on board know how relieving

10.9$ETH Silk Road
Market Analysis
After quickly dipping to the 2405.07 low, the market stabilized and rebounded, completing a bottom recovery. The current price is above the Bollinger middle band, while the Bollinger Bands are gradually flattening and turning upward; the MACD DIF has crossed above DEA, forming a golden cross, and the red bars have expanded slightly. Bearish momentum is gradually weakening, and the short term is in a consolidating phase with a strong bias. The upside resistance is 2541.27, and the downside support is 2405.
Bullish Strategy (Go Long)
✅Long rationale: The

#每周来晒 #美联储9月纪要偏鹰
Probability of an October Rate Hike
A Federal Reserve rate hike at the upcoming October 27–28 meeting is unlikely.
Although the September meeting minutes showed unanimous agreement on raising the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00% and left open the possibility of further tightening before year-end, several factors favor a pause in October:
Stale Sentiment in September Minutes: The September meeting took place prior to key labor market and price data. Sub-30,000 job additions in September (+29,000) and cooler wage growth signaled cooling economic momentum.
Lagged Tran

#加密市场观察 Decentralized Exchange Tokens: UNI, HYPE, ASTER—Who Can Truly Capture Value?
In the crypto market, decentralized exchanges (DEXs) are no longer a niche concept but core infrastructure for on-chain finance. Spot liquidity, perpetual contracts, and cross-chain trading are almost impossible to avoid. The protocols’ native tokens often directly reflect their competitiveness and value-capture capabilities. The three currently attracting the most market attention are UNI, HYPE, and ASTER. They have different positioning and divergent paths, but together they outline the competitive landscape

Market sentiment has entered the “greed” zone again, with the Fear and Greed Index hitting 70 today. You may not usually pay much attention to this figure, but simply put, it combines data such as volatility, trading volume, social media buzz, and Bitcoin dominance into a score from 0 to 100. Below 25 is extreme fear, while above 75 is extreme greed. It is currently right at 70, which falls in the “greed” zone.
What’s interesting is that this index is more useful as a reference when it reaches extreme levels. Extreme fear often appears when the market is deeply oversold and sentiment is at its

Vitalik Buterin urges calm as AI sparks new Bitcoin and Ethereum crypto security fears
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has warned that AI-driven advances in mathematics could weaken both existing crypto signatures and some post-quantum defenses.
On Oct. 7, Buterin advised crypto holders to reduce exposure where practical but cautioned against rushing funds into new wallets, arguing that migration mistakes pose a more immediate danger than any demonstrated cryptographic break.
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recom

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