On-Chain Data

On March 4, 2026, from 06:30 to 06:45 (UTC), ETH achieved a return of +0.95% within 15 minutes, with a price range of 1967.24 to 1986.41 USDT and an amplitude of 0.97%. The short-term abnormal movement highlights increased market attention and is accompanied by heightened volatility, drawing significant focus from trading communities and on-chain funds. The main driver of this abnormal movement is the influx of macro hedging funds. Major Asian stock markets experienced a sharp decline, with the largest single-day drop exceeding 12%, prompting global funds to seek safe havens. Cryptocurrencies, as a mainstream alternative, received a notable influx of capital.

The current crypto market is showing clear divergence, with 38% of altcoins trading near historical lows and facing ongoing selling pressure. Liquidity is tightening, with market funds concentrating in Bitcoin and Ethereum. Some public chain projects remain active, but liquidity for many altcoins has decreased significantly, transaction costs have risen, and market vulnerability has increased. Additionally, enhanced European regulation could further accelerate market concentration, and the long-term disadvantages of fringe altcoins are becoming more apparent.

As tensions in the Middle East escalate, cryptocurrency trading in Iran has significantly increased, with users大量 buying Bitcoin and transferring it to personal wallets to protect their assets. The platform Nobitex has experienced a surge in withdrawals, indicating a reduced reliance on centralized services. Historically, during geopolitical conflicts, cryptocurrencies often serve as tools for cross-border transfers and risk mitigation. Users diversify assets to reduce risk but also need to bear the responsibility of private key management. Amid increasing global market uncertainty, some funds are flowing overseas, with investors turning to Bitcoin to hedge against banking restrictions.

Ripple announces that its payment platform transaction volume has surpassed $100 billion, covering over 60 markets, demonstrating the success of its cross-border payment solutions. However, XRP's liquidity index on Binance has dropped to a new low, indicating a significant decline in trading activity, which could impact price volatility risk. Analysis points out that even with business growth, low liquidity does not necessarily immediately improve market conditions.

Against the backdrop of escalating tensions in the Middle East, Iran's cryptocurrency system demonstrates the key role of stablecoins. Even with internet disruptions and a sharp decline in trading volume, USDT remains an important channel for value transfer. It is estimated that by 2025, Iran's crypto trading volume could reach $8 billion to $10 billion, with fund flows associated with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Despite trading restrictions, the overall system has not collapsed, reflecting the dual nature of stablecoins in cross-border payments and sanctions evasion.

Currently, approximately 3.4 million ETH are waiting to join the Ethereum validator set, with a queue time of 60 days. The demand mainly comes from large enterprises and exchanges, which earn stable returns through staking. This trend indicates that institutional investors prefer long-term holdings, which is related to increased market confidence.

As large investors choose to stake Ethereum to earn yields, the ETH validator queue has surged to 3.4 million, setting the longest pending record with an estimated wait time of 60 days. This change reflects a strong market demand for yield generation, especially from large enterprises and exchange participants.

Recently, the demand for Ethereum staking has significantly increased, with 3.4 million ETH queued to enter the validator queue, and the waiting time reaching 60 days, a record high. Institutional investors are gradually changing their strategies to earn stable returns through staking. This trend is expected to reflect optimistic expectations for the future applications of Ethereum.

Bitcoin price has recently rebounded to around $68,000, mainly driven by institutional capital inflows and short covering. Although trading sentiment remains cautious, market optimism for short-term fluctuations has increased, but high-leverage traders remain cautious, and overall confidence is gradually recovering.

The conflict between the US and Iran impacts the market, with TSMC's stock price plummeting to 1,895 yuan and the Taiwan Weighted Index falling by 94.9 points. Conversely, Bitcoin defies the trend and rebounds to $68,062, indicating investor risk aversion. Precious metal prices retreat, with gold dropping to a low of $5,119. Rising international oil prices influence inflation expectations, causing the probability of rate cuts to decrease to 2.6%. The US dollar index rises, and the market expects Bitcoin to break through $75,000 before confirming the end of the bull market.

ChainCatcher reports that, according to Arkham data, at 10:52, 47,600 SOL (worth approximately $4.13 million) was transferred from an anonymous address (starting with 3HTsdR...) to another anonymous address (starting with A9FFwk...).

Bitcoin circulation is approaching 20 million coins, with over 95% already mined. The remaining 1 million coins are expected to take more than 100 years to mine, highlighting its scarcity. The maximum supply of Bitcoin is 21 million coins, forming a stark contrast with fiat currencies. As the halving events continue to impact the network, future supply will gradually decrease, and transaction fees will become the primary source of income for miners.

The article discusses a significant increase in Iranian cryptocurrency outflows, rising by 700% following US-Israeli airstrikes, highlighting the impact of geopolitical events on crypto markets.

The total supply of PI tokens on the Pi Network mainnet has exceeded 9 billion, with a daily mapping speed of 50 million. There are 17.7 million KYC-verified users who have completed over 16 million migrations. The KYC verifier reward system is in final testing and is expected to go live by the end of March 2026. Some users remain cautious about the reward timeline; the actual application and ecosystem growth will influence the long-term prospects of Pi Network.

In some parts of Africa, merchants are turning to Bitcoin as everyday currency rather than just an investment tool, due to high inflation in the region. Executive Chairman Masie highlighted the importance of Bitcoin in combating inflation and noted that the tech-savviness of the young population is driving cryptocurrency growth. On-chain data shows that the African crypto market is growing rapidly, offering a vast space for financial inclusion.

The US government transferred about $23,000 worth of bitcoin from a wallet linked to seized funds from Miguel Villanueva. This included three separate transactions totaling approximately 0.3346 BTC, after which the Villanueva wallet appeared empty. The government holds around 328,000 BTC, reaffirming its strategy to retain seized assets.

ChainCatcher reports that, according to glassnode, the total contract holdings across the network have reached the largest single-day percentage increase since 2025. As Bitcoin's price tests $69,400, leverage has significantly expanded. This phenomenon aligns with speculators heavily betting on Bitcoin surpassing $70,000, but ultimately failing to realize that expectation.

Crypto outflows from Iran’s largest exchange surged 700% within minutes of U.S.-Israeli airstrikes, according to Elliptic data, signaling possible capital flight as geopolitical tensions and sanctions pressure intensify across the region’s fragile financial system. Iran Sees Massive Surge in Cryp

Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at approximately $68,040, failing to continue its rebound. Trump mentioned that stablecoin legislation faces banking threats and called for advancing related bills. Mizuho Securities raised Circle's target stock price to $100, maintaining a neutral rating. U.S. stocks closed lower amid volatility due to the Middle East conflict, with investors concerned about geopolitical uncertainties.

ChainCatcher message: According to Arkham data, at 06:19, 10 million MOVE tokens (worth approximately $2.21 million) were transferred from Movement Network to Null Address.