Do Token Unlocks Always Lead to a Price Drop? The Three Variables That Really Matter

Whenever a crypto project announces a token unlock schedule, two views often emerge in the market: one holds that newly circulating tokens inevitably lead to a price drop, while the other believes the unlock has already been priced in and there is no need to worry.

In reality, a token unlock means the potential circulating supply is changing, but it does not mean those tokens will necessarily be sold immediately. To assess the impact, you need to analyze three variables.

First, consider the size of the unlo

What Exactly Is the Market Pricing In When the Spot-Futures Basis Widens?

In crypto markets, besides price, trading volume, and funding rates, there is another metric worth watching: basis.

Sometimes, Bitcoin’s spot price changes little, while futures prices are significantly higher than spot; at other times, futures prices are lower than spot. This difference is not merely a numerical change; it may also reflect differing expectations about future prices, funding costs, and demand for positions.

First, understand what basis is.

Basis usually refers to the difference between the futures pr

If all employees’ appeals succeed, Jensen Huang returns, and the stock makes a V-shaped reversal, anyone who bought the dip a few days ago will never have to worry about being poor again.
All NVIDIA employees, keep it up!

#晒出我的持仓收益
Don't listen to the clock running backward—go for whatever you want!

$AKE Keep half, wait for 100x, 100x,

What Is Multi-Timeframe Analysis? Why Doesn’t a Bullish Short-Term Trend Mean the Long-Term Trend Is Also Rising?

In crypto trading, the same asset can show completely different trends across different timeframes. The 15-minute chart may be rising while the 4-hour chart is still in a downtrend, and the daily chart may show the market moving sideways. Looking at just one timeframe can easily lead you to mistake a brief rebound for a trend reversal.

First, what is multi-timeframe analysis?

Multi-timeframe analysis means observing price movements across different timeframes to understand the m

gate launches its third ipo access subscription for anthropic at an indicative $70–$78 per share, with subscriptions in usdt open until november 17. allocation is not guaranteed.

\#ANTHROPIC #IPO $GATE

$CL Crude oil is showing a textbook consolidation breakout pattern. Go long one lot and set a stop loss

**$NBIS /USDT Perp – "Heavy Breakdown – Short"**
Short Trading Plan $NBIS
Entry: 130.20
SL: 142.03
TP1: 126.00
TP2: 118.81
NBIS plunged -16.96% from its high of 160.20. MACD is deeply bearish, with a retest of the 118.81 low in sight.

📈 Since its first trading prices in 2010, Bitcoin has risen from $0.058 to over $68,000 today, an absolutely staggering increase of more than 122 million percent in just 16 years.
Bitcoin has weathered dozens of crises, several crashes exceeding 70%, government bans, platform bankruptcies, and a succession of spectacular bull cycles.
This chart traces more than 6,500 days of history, a financial and technological journey that seemed utterly improbable at the outset.

A quick update for everyone
The 3890 take-profit level has been hit
Getting ready to end the stream; I'll be back on tonight.
The market has wrapped up the week nearly perfectly.
Our subscription pricing rule: for every 2000-point increase in cumulative profit, the subscription price goes up by 1GT; conversely, for every 2000-point loss, the subscription price goes down by 1GT.
🎯My goal remains unchanged: capture high-quality market moves and recoup the subscription cost quickly; a major move can earn back a monthly or even annual subscription fee in a single day. Stick to long-term probabili

Bitcoin ETFs Continue to See Outflows—What Signal Is the Market Sending?

Recently, a trend in the Bitcoin market has raised concerns: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs are experiencing a significant wave of net outflows. This is not just about price fluctuations; it also reflects some investors reassessing risk.

According to public figures as of November 11, 2026, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen cumulative net outflows of approximately $1.61 billion this month. On November 5, net outflows totaled approximately $430.2 million, followed by $411.9 million on November 6. Outflows narrowed over the followi

I only short coins that are skyrocketing. I’m siding with the bears this time.
$AKE What are you panicking about? Guys, short the top two coins on the gainers list. In this market, if altcoins dare to rally, it’s just their last gasp. They’ll bounce around for a day at most, then fizzle out the next day. Shorting now is like picking up free money. $AKE
AKEUSDT perpetual contract: short opened, unrealized profit +18.00 USDT, AKE up +89.06% intraday.
Risk warning: The above is solely a record of my personal trading activity and a sharing of my views; it does not constitute investment advice. Co

Fibonacci levels are consistently dependable. $BTC ‌

What Should a Trading Journal Record to Truly Help Improve Trading Performance?

In cryptocurrency trading, many people focus on their profits and losses every day, but rarely take the time to record why they entered or exited a trade, or what problems arose during execution. Without systematic records, traders tend to repeat mistakes and find it difficult to determine whether a strategy is actually effective.

First, record the basic details of every trade. This includes the asset traded, direction, entry price, exit price, time, position size, and leverage. These details help you reconstruct

What Is the Break-Even Win Rate? How High Must a Trading Strategy’s Win Rate Be to Cover Trading Costs?

In cryptocurrency trading, many people know their win rate but not how high it needs to be to actually make a profit. If winning trades earn little while losing trades lose a lot, you can still end up losing money even if you make the right call more often. The break-even win rate helps traders understand the minimum performance their strategy needs to achieve.

First, what is the break-even win rate?

The break-even win rate is the minimum win rate required for long-term expected returns t

Why Do Futures Prices for the Same Cryptocurrency Differ Across Expiration Dates?

When you look at the cryptocurrency futures market, you may notice that even for the same asset, such as Bitcoin, some futures contracts are priced higher than spot, while contracts with later expiration dates are priced even higher.

If the underlying asset is the same, why do different contracts have different prices?

The key is that futures prices are influenced not only by spot prices, but also by factors such as contract term, funding costs, market demand, and risk expectations.

First, different expiratio

On Friday, amid inflation concerns and expectations of higher interest rates, Bitcoin fell below $70,000 for the first time since August, hitting a low of $67,449 and dropping as much as 4.4% intraday. It is currently around $68,600. Asian stocks and bonds also weakened as markets awaited US PPI data. Rising oil prices and inflation fueled expectations of Fed rate hikes, while concerns over tighter regulation added to the multiple macro pressures continuing to weigh on the crypto market.