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Rate hike delivered, but the real hawkish signal is in the dot plot
In the early hours of September 17 Beijing time, the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00% as expected, passing the decision unanimously with 12 votes in favor and 0 against. This was the first rate hike since July 2023.
I. The decision itself contained no surprises
The 92.4% probability of a rate hike had already been fully priced in by the market, and the 25-basis-point increase was also within expectations. The market direction was truly determined by two signals that had not previo
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BTC+0.67%
Two days ago, I went from 50 gas to over 1,000 gas in a single day; yesterday, I went from over 1,000 gas back to just over 50 gas in a single day. Can I still make it to 10,000 gas? I want to leave the crypto space.
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#晒出我的持仓收益 continues northbound, target 2728
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MARKET IVERVIEW
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market update
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$BTC $ETH $TSLA
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BTC+0.67%
ETH+0.78%
TSLA+0.41%
$COTI Conclusion: Short-term bullish; buy on pullbacks. Current price 0.01713, MA5=0.017188 has crossed above MA20=0.0169535, with bullish moving-average alignment; MACD histogram +1.05e-05 remains bullish, RSI=52.5 is neutral-to-strong, and the Bollinger upper band at 0.0179746 is resistance. Funding rate -0.0051%, with shorts paying, favoring a rebound.
Entry: 0.01690-0.01705 (MA5 and MA20 support zone; RSI holds above 50 on the pullback) Take profit 1: 0.01760 (below the Bollinger upper band and near prior-high resistance) Take profit 2: 0.01795 (Bollinger upper band 0.0179746; reduce the
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COTI+7.07%
RE+1.69%
ENS+3.36%
The most unusual point in today's market: $AVAX is currently at 7.418, already above the Bollinger upper band at 7.40906, but the 24h gain is only +1.50%, and the 18.1M USDT trading volume does not indicate a high-volume breakout. The price is hugging the upper band, the MACD histogram remains positive at 0.02277, and RSI at 59.6 has not entered overbought territory. This is a typical low-volume upper-band structure—bulls have the advantage but lack acceleration momentum.
In terms of moving-average structure, MA5=7.373 has crossed above and is now higher than MA20=7.29765, showing the early f
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AVAX+3.64%
SU-4.08%
INJ+1.05%
$OP
$OP is green on the 1H screen, but the recent 24H structure remains weak. Recent technical analysis places important support around $0.0898, with $0.0808 as the next downside level.
Neutral — wait for confirmation
Entry: $0.094 - $0.097
TP1: $0.100
TP2: $0.104
TP3: $0.108
SL: $0.089
Invalidation: A break below $0.089 would cancel the recovery setup.
‍$OP
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OP+1.50%
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I got so annoyed watching the charts that I turned them off—and could see things more clearly. With my eyes off the screen, my mind stopped panicking too.
A few nights ago before bed, $AIOT was ranging around 0.04571. The key level held; it was forming a base without breaking support, so I suggested setting up the long order first and going long.
When I opened the charts in the morning, it had already reached 0.04739, up +18.41%. That feels great. It was truly sluggish before, but once it broke out, it was truly rewarding. I banked most of the profits first, took 80% profit, and moved the sto
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AIOT+4.29%
ADA+0.41%
SNDK+0.53%
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MARSCOIN+13.66%
📢 Fed interest rate meeting early Thursday morning | Macro review
✅ Decision: The benchmark interest rate remains unchanged, with no hike and no cut.
✅ Powell's remarks were hawkish in tone: Inflation has not yet stabilized, rate cuts will be delayed, and the possibility of further hikes remains.
📌 Macro interpretation:
U.S. inflation is sticky and the labor market is resilient, extending the period of high rates and lowering market expectations for rate cuts.
👉 Market impact:
The market is likely to consolidate amid short-term volatility, with intensified bull-bear battles and frequent bai
Most people start panicking after a 20% drop, but the person on my list has instead laid out a position for buying the dip—that’s the difference. I can see exactly what Shuqin is doing: that move to sell at $97 was something she announced in advance.
Now that it has fallen to around $80, she says it can be accumulated gradually between $75 and $80. This is what I look for in people—sell at the highs, then buy back after the drop, profiting twice from the same stock.
She also said herself that this level may not be the bottom, so it’s about accumulating gradually, not going all-in at once.
A: A
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CRCL-6.73%
Bitcoin and Ethereum’s strategies from last night continued into the early hours today, both hitting the planned entry levels before reaching near the target levels, gaining 1300➕60 points.
$BTC $ETH
ChenMingyuan_guanjin
Good evening on September 16! Bitcoin's midday long position advanced first to 70670, then began oscillating downward to 75315, and is currently trading around 75900. This Wednesday, 3 longs and 4 shorts delivered seven consecutive wins, totaling 9500➕400 points
Wednesday evening
Go long on a pullback to around 75600-75100, targeting 75200-74500
Go long on a pullback to around 2385-2365, targeting 2430-2480
$BTC $ETH
BTC+0.66%
ETH+0.78%
🚨 JUST IN: 🇺🇸 A U.S. House committee has advanced legislation to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. ₿🔥
Bitcoin just moved another step closer to the U.S. balance sheet.
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BTC+0.67%
September 17 Morning Market Brief
$BTC approximately $76,200, $ETH approximately $2,470; the market saw a recovery after the Fed's rate hike, but overall sentiment remains cautious
① The Fed raised rates by 25bp to 3.75%-4%, its first rate hike in over three years, while 16/18 officials expect at least one more hike this year, keeping short-term liquidity conditions tight
② ETF funds have clearly retreated: on September 15, BTC spot ETFs saw net outflows of $450 million, while ETH saw outflows of $141 million, totaling nearly $592 million—the largest single-day outflow recently
③ The key shor
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BTC+0.67%
ETH+0.78%
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After years of accumulation, without greed and knowing contentment, open, open the golden road.
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GLDX-0.29%
PAXG+0.39%
Damn, I said to watch 4233 a couple of days ago. Sigh. Sure enough, volatility was huge last night. They hiked rates by 25 basis points, and I waited until 1:30 a.m. last night but really couldn’t stay awake, so I went to sleep.
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