BTC falls below $70k; can tonight’s 9:30 p.m. PPI print a long wick on the weekly candle?
Could the weekend bring a violent rebound? U.S. PPI tonight may be an important catalyst.
BTC has fallen to $69,199, down 6.02% in 24 hours, after hitting a low of $67,568—about 5.4% below its 200-day moving average of $73,137.
First, tonight at 9:30 p.m., the U.S. October PPI will be released. Here are four scenarios for the key data:
Strongly bullish: Headline ≤0.2%, core ≤0.2%. Inflation comes in clearly below expectations. If the dollar and Treasury yields also retreat, BTC could quickly reclaim $70,5

Why Do False Breakouts Sometimes Happen After Prices Break Through Resistance?

In crypto markets, when prices break through key resistance levels, traders are often drawn in to chase the rally. But sometimes, prices quickly fall back into their previous range just after breaking through, leaving traders who entered at a disadvantage. This phenomenon is known as a false breakout and is one of the key risks traders need to identify.

First, what is a false breakout?

A false breakout occurs when prices briefly break through an important support or resistance zone but fail to hold beyond it, the

What Is a Market Maker? How Do They Improve Market Liquidity by Providing Buy and Sell Quotes, and What Risks Do They Face?

In crypto markets, whether a trade can be executed quickly depends not only on the willingness of buyers and sellers, but also on whether sufficient liquidity is available. Market makers are important participants in providing market liquidity, but they are not risk-free middlemen who always make a profit.

First, what is a market maker?

Market makers typically provide continuous buy and sell quotes, making it easier for other traders to find counterparties. By adding e

What Is Trade Expectancy? How Can Win Rate, Average Profit and Loss, and Trading Costs Help Determine Whether a Strategy Has a Long-Term Edge?

In cryptocurrency trading, making money in the short term does not mean a strategy will work over the long term. Catching one big market move by chance may hide problems with the strategy itself. Trade expectancy helps us evaluate a strategy as a whole, rather than judging it based on just a few wins or losses.

First, what is trade expectancy?

Trade expectancy is the average potential return per trade when repeatedly trading according to a particular

What Is the Funding Rate? Why Can Perpetual Contracts Incur Ongoing Holding Costs Even When Prices Barely Move?

In cryptocurrency trading, many people focus only on price movements after opening a position and overlook the funding rate. For perpetual contract traders, even if prices move sideways for a long time, holding a position may still incur additional costs or generate returns as long as the funding rate is nonzero.

First, what is the funding rate?

The funding rate is a mechanism in perpetual contracts through which longs and shorts make periodic payments to each other. Its purpose i

How Does Fed Rate Policy Affect Global Asset Prices?

Many investors track the daily ups and downs of Bitcoin, U.S. stocks, and gold, but overlook a more important variable: Federal Reserve monetary policy.

Why does a single U.S. rate adjustment affect global financial markets? Because the U.S. dollar is not only a major global reserve currency, but also an important foundation for international financing, trade settlement, and capital allocation.

On October 28, 2026, the Fed kept the federal funds rate target range at 3.75% to 4.00%. But this does not mean the market has entered an easing c

$ETH Machi Big Brother😂 was liquidated an hour ago, then quickly went long again half an hour ago. The liquidation price is now 1873. Will he get liquidated twice this time?

What Is Slippage? Why Might the Order Price Differ from the Final Execution Price?

In cryptocurrency trading, you may see a certain price, only to find that by the time your order is executed, the price has changed. This phenomenon may be slippage. It may seem like a minor detail, but it can affect trading costs, stop-loss performance, and final returns.

First, what is slippage?

Slippage is the difference between the expected execution price and the actual execution price. For example, if you plan to buy a token at 100 USDT but your order is ultimately filled at 101 USDT, that is unfavorabl

What Is Open Interest (OI)? Why Doesn’t an Increase in Open Interest Necessarily Mean Prices Will Rise Immediately?

In crypto futures trading, many people see open interest continuing to increase and assume the market is about to rise. But open interest reflects the size of contracts that have not yet been closed, not simply buying capital. To correctly understand market movements, OI must be analyzed alongside price, trading volume, and funding rates.

First, what is OI?

Open interest (OI) refers to the total number of contracts that remain open at a given point in time. When new contracts

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I'm having fried rice with grilled pork for lunch today.
What is everyone having for lunch today?
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Why can prices continue falling even when MACD bullish divergence appears?

In the crypto market, MACD bullish divergence is often viewed as a potential reversal signal, but many traders find that prices may continue falling even after bullish divergence appears. That’s because weakening momentum does not mean the downtrend has ended.

First, what is MACD bullish divergence?

Bullish divergence may form when prices keep making new lows while the lows on the MACD indicator gradually rise. This may mean downward momentum is weakening, but it does not prove that buyers have taken control.

Second

Why does a larger account loss require a higher return to break even?

There is a mathematical principle in trading that is easy to overlook: the percentage loss and the return needed to break even are not symmetrical. The deeper the account’s losses, the harder it is to restore its original balance.

First, losses and recovery are not symmetrical. Suppose an account has 100k USDT. After a 30% loss, only 70k USDT remains. To get back to 100k, it needs to rise by about 42.9%, not just gain 30%.

Second, the deeper the loss, the greater the pressure to recover. After a 50% loss, only half the fu

What Is Price-Volume Divergence? How Is It Different from a Normal Decline in Trading Volume?

In crypto markets, price and trading volume do not always move in sync. When prices continue to rise while trading volume gradually declines, or prices keep falling while trading volume continues to contract, traders may consider whether price-volume divergence is emerging. But price-volume divergence is only an analytical clue; it does not mean the market will necessarily reverse.

First, what is price-volume divergence?

Price-volume divergence refers to a mismatch between price movements and chang

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Why can trading strategies that perform well in backtests fail in real markets?

A trading strategy may deliver strong returns, a high win rate, and even a well-controlled maximum drawdown in historical backtests, yet produce entirely different results once deployed in the market. The problem may not necessarily lie with the strategy itself; it may also stem from the gap between backtesting and live trading.

First, historical data does not represent the future. Backtesting can only evaluate a strategy's performance in specific historical market conditions. Market structure, volatility levels,

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Rate is now 1400+, but you have not p2p in a long time, so i said let me update you.
Anyways vote Peter Obi.
gm 😂

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