Bijiang.com data: Market prices at the same time show that 1 ETH is approximately equivalent to 0.031634 BTC.

$ADA Current price 0.2546, 24h +3.79%, trading volume 29.6M USDT. MA5=0.24952 has crossed above MA20=0.245735, and the MACD histogram has turned positive at +0.000922. The trend structure itself is healthy—but RSI has surged to 79.9, while the price at 0.2546 is clearly above the Bollinger upper band at 0.251062. This is a typical case of “the trend is intact, but the price is relatively high.” Teaching point: To assess trend health, do not look only at a moving-average golden cross; also examine “moving-average divergence + the relationship between price and the Bollinger upper band.” If the price continues to hug the upper band after a golden cross, the trend is strong; once it breaks above the upper band and RSI>75, a short-term pullback to MA5 is often needed before the uptrend can continue. MA5 is currently at 0.2495, making it the first level to watch. I am bullish but would not chase the price: entry reference 0.2470–0.2500 (the confluence zone between a pullback to MA5 and the lower edge of the Bollinger upper band), take-profit 1 at 0.2560 (near the previous high and the first resistance after RSI becomes overbought), take-profit 2 at 0.2630 (an upward extension based on the 6.05% amplitude over 30 candlesticks), and stop-loss at 0.2410 (a break below the Bollinger lower band at 0.240408 would invalidate the golden-cross logic). The Fear and Greed Index is 65, in the greed zone, so the position should not be too large. Also monitor: $ON and $ETH. Among them, $ONE is clearly weaker (MA5

#CorePCEandGDPFinalReading INFLATION IS COOLING, BUT THE ECONOMY IS STILL TOO STRONG FOR EASY MONEY The latest U.S. Core PCE and GDP data created a complicated setup for financial markets. Inflation is moving in the right direction, but economic growth remains resilient. That combination gives the Federal Reserve more flexibility, but it does not give policymakers a strong reason to rush into aggressive rate cuts. Core PCE increased 0.2% month-over-month and 3.0% year-over-year, below expectations of roughly 0.3% monthly and 3.3% annually. Headline PCE rose 0.3% monthly and 3.4% annually. At the same time, Q2 GDP was revised sharply higher to 2.2% annualized from 1.5%. This creates the central macro question: Will cooling inflation eventually bring yields lower, or will strong growth keep Treasury yields elevated? That answer could determine the next major move in BTC, ETH, gold and U.S. equities. THE FED HAS MORE ROOM — BUT LESS URGENCY The softer Core PCE reading reduced some inflation pressure. Reports indicated that the probability of an October rate hike fell from around 45% toward 37% following the data. That is supportive for risk assets. However, Core PCE at 3.0% is still meaningfully above the Fed's 2% target. More importantly, stronger GDP tells policymakers that the economy is not collapsing. So I would not interpret this report as a signal for immediate aggressive easing. The better interpretation is: Inflation is becoming less dangerous, while economic growth remains strong enough for the Fed to stay patient. TREASURY YIELDS ARE STILL THE BIGGEST TEST The bond market remains critical. The 10-year Treasury yield has recently been around 5.30%, with the 2-year near 4.89% and the 30-year around 5.65%. For me, the most important levels are: 10Y below 5.10% → improving liquidity 10Y near 5.00% → stronger support for risk assets 10Y above 5.30% → continued pressure on crypto and equities If inflation cools but yields continue climbing, the bullish impact of softer PCE can quickly disappear. BTC: $87,200 IS THE GATEWAY Bitcoin remains around $85.3K, with the market trapped between important support and resistance. My key levels: Support: $83,400–$83,600 Resistance: $86,000–$87,200 Breakout confirmation: Above $87,200 If BTC holds $83,400–$83,600, creates higher lows and spot volume expands, a move toward $86K and $87.2K becomes possible. A confirmed breakout above $87,200 with strong spot volume, controlled open interest and stable funding could open $88,500–$90,000. But if BTC repeatedly rejects $86K–$87.2K while yields remain above 5.30%, I would stay cautious. A breakdown below $83,400 could expose $82,000, $80,500 and potentially $78,500–$79,000. ETH NEEDS LIQUIDITY ETH around $2.70K remains highly sensitive to market liquidity. Support: $2,650–$2,670 Resistance: $2,775 A breakout above $2,775 could target $2,850 and $2,950–$3,000. But losing $2,650 while BTC breaks $83,400 would increase downside risk toward $2,550 and $2,450. GOLD AND OIL ARE MACRO SIGNALS Gold near $4,162 is fighting around the $4,200 area. Support: $4,100–$4,150 Resistance: $4,200–$4,240 A clean move above $4,240 could target $4,300, while losing $4,100 could expose $4,000. Meanwhile, WTI around $91 remains an inflation wildcard. A move above $95–$100 could revive inflation expectations and push yields higher. MY MACRO VIEW I am not buying BTC simply because PCE cooled, and I am not shorting stocks simply because yields are high. I want confirmation across markets. Bullish setup: Inflation cools + Treasury yields fall + BTC breaks $87,200 + spot volume expands. Defensive setup: Yields remain above 5.30% + oil moves toward $95–$100 + BTC fails at $87,200. The biggest message from this report is simple: Inflation is improving, but the economy is still strong. For the next major risk-asset move, I will be watching Treasury yields more closely than the PCE headline itself. #CorePCEandGDPFinalReading #OneGate见证计划 #内容挖矿 #ShareWeekly [@Gate_Square](gt://mention/g1UZydKt-c9b1A62Hq)