In recent days, several partners who followed the setup have successfully taken profits and exited. Only realized profits can bring peace of mind. $ETH Some are happy while others are worried; some friends were caught in positions during yesterday’s volatility, staring at the charts all day and unable to sleep at night. Volatile markets test one’s mindset the most, and blind trading will only leave you deeper in trouble. The market never lacks opportunities; what it lacks is the judgment to identify turning points. If your current positions are under pressure and you are unsure of the direction, you do not have to shoulder it alone. Wait patiently for the right opportunity and steadily work your way out.

Can the crypto market catch its breath now that the Fed has paused rate hikes? The toughest part of this market cycle is that expectations for an October rate hike have fallen, yet the market has not eased up. The Fed already raised rates by 25 basis points in September, bringing the rate to 3.75%—4%. The latest minutes show that most officials still believe another rate hike this year may be appropriate. A temporary pause is still some distance from easing. Looking at the actual data: During Asian trading hours on October 8, the U.S. Dollar Index was around 102.25, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.303%, BTC was around $82,360, and ETH around $2,554. The probability the market assigns to no rate hike in October has reached 81.7%, but the dollar and Treasury yields remain elevated, and crypto assets are still under pressure. My view is that going forward, we cannot focus only on “whether rates will be raised.” We also need to see whether funding conditions improve. With a strong dollar and high yields, rebounds are likely to encounter selling pressure. Expectations of a rate-hike pause alone are still not enough to confirm that the market is strengthening. The next key event is the release of U.S. CPI at 20:30 Beijing time on October 14. Whether inflation can continue to cool is what will give the market a basis for adjusting expectations again. When trading at this point, more important than guessing the Fed is making sure you do not let your position gamble on the answer. #美联储9月纪要偏鹰 [@Gate 广场](gt://mention/g178nhK3LTVf5NcWy2)

Yesterday, BTC and ETH short positions were both exited profitably again. The two short positions generated profits after entry, and both were exited profitably based on actual execution rather than being recorded as target take-profits. The market has continued to fall. Today, do not chase shorts at low levels; continue waiting for a rebound before entering. 【BTC Strategy】 Direction: Short Entry: Faces resistance at 83550–83900, followed by another break below 83550 Target 1: 82700 Target 2: 82250 🔴 Stop-loss: Above 84250 If the price breaks above 84250 on increased volume and holds after a retest, cancel the short plan. 【ETH Strategy】 Direction: Short Entry: Faces resistance at 2595–2620 and fails to hold above 2620 Target 1: 2550 Target 2: 2520 🔴 Stop-loss: Above 2645 If the price regains and holds above 2645, cancel the short plan. The Federal Reserve meeting minutes were hawkish, and ETH is also facing more pronounced funding pressure. Before entering the resistance zone, do not chase shorts or take heavy positions.