Gateway to Learning

Following the joint U.S.–Israel airstrikes on Iran, gold and crude oil gapped higher at Monday’s open, while global equities opened lower and Bitcoin volatility intensified. Prediction markets suggest that the probability of a full-scale war remains relatively low, though the risk of disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz is not negligible. If tensions ease on a temporary basis, commodity prices could see a meaningful pullback. Conversely, further escalation would raise the risk of another sharp surge in gold and oil prices. Bitcoin may face near-term pressure, with its medium-term trajectory likely dependent on global liquidity conditions. Gate has now launched trading segments covering metals, equities, indices, foreign exchange, and commodities. Through Gate TradFi, investors can access 24/7 trading to respond swiftly to market developments and capture emerging opportunities.

Gate Research: The depreciation of the USD is the result of long-term shifts in real purchasing power, fiscal dynamics, and real interest rates. Regulatory constraints within the traditional banking system have created offshore demand for dollars, which stablecoins are increasingly absorbing. The quality of collateral, transparency, and issuer credibility are becoming the key determinants of stablecoins’ price stability, liquidity priority, and long-term capital preference. Looking ahead to 2026, stablecoins are more likely to function as a “reservoir” and distribution layer for dollars, with their reserve-driven demand for short-term treasuries in turn beginning to influence the dollar’s own pricing structure.

Gate Research: On March 2, the crypto market continued to experience high-volatility consolidation, with BTC fluctuating around the $66,000–$67,000 range and ETH staging a recovery but failing to break out, while overall risk appetite remained subdued. Escalating tensions in the Middle East and sustained volatility in oil prices have increased macro uncertainty, with the Fear & Greed Index dropping to 10. Clear divergence emerged among small-cap and thematic tokens: SYND surged on exchange incentives and ecosystem partnership catalysts, ARC gained momentum on renewed AI narrative rotation, and CFG attracted buying interest following its listing on a Korean exchange, indicating that short-term price action is largely event-driven. On the headlines front, X lifted its ban on paid crypto promotions while strengthening disclosure requirements; SpaceX reportedly moved forward with a confidential IPO filing and disclosed holdings of 8,285 BTC; and Vitalik emphasized that AI is significantly accelerating Ethereum’s