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ETH is now around 1930-1940; it briefly fell below 1900 today, down 6 points

Similar to BTC, the short-term outlook is clearly bearish, with all moving averages broken. RSI is oversold, so there’s room for a rebound, but the trend hasn’t turned yet

First support is at 1900; if that breaks, watch 1880-1890, then around 1850

First resistance is at 1950-1980; if it gets above that, watch the 2000 level, with the next range around 2040-2060

If it holds 1900 and gets back above 1980-2000, a short-term long could target 2020-2050. If it breaks below 1900 outright, then the bearish outlook contin

Detailed BTC Analysis for Today

$BTC Around $68800, down about 6% over 24 hours. The 24-hour range was roughly $67500–$73600. The price touched a low near $67500 today before rebounding slightly

I. Market Overview

Short term (4H/daily): A clear downtrend, with consecutive lower highs + lower lows. The price has fallen below all major recent moving averages (including the area around the 200-day MA), and technical indicators are strongly bearish. The daily RSI has entered oversold territory (around 25), and the 4H RSI is even lower. A technical rebound is possible, but a reversal has not yet

BTC is around 69k now, down nearly 6% again today

The short-term trend is clearly bearish, with prices falling all the way and breaking below all the moving averages. The RSI is already oversold, so there’s some chance of a bounce, but the trend hasn’t turned yet

First support is at 68k. If that breaks, watch 67k to 67.5k, with 65k below that

On the resistance side, first watch 70k. If BTC gets above that, the next level is 71.5k to 72.5k, with 75k above that

If it holds 68k and then gets above 70k, you can take a short-term long position and target around 72k. If it breaks straight below

$BTC has already dropped below 70k; $ETH dropping below 1,800 is only a matter of time!

#BTC跌4% ‌ ‌

ZEC has fallen below 1,000 and is now around 980, down over 40% from its September high! Its market cap has dropped out of the top 10—it's getting absolutely crushed!

After looking into it, I’d sum it up as four reasons:

1. Sell the news: After the NU7 upgrade (block time cut from 75 seconds to 25 seconds + NSM mechanism) went live, expectations were priced in and profit-taking at the highs surged

2. Macro pressure: U.S. October CPI came in hotter than expected, lowering overall market risk appetite. BTC also came under pressure, while high-beta privacy coins fell even harder

3. Leverag

U.S. October CPI came in hotter than expected across the board, hitting stocks and BTC

October CPI rose 0.4% month over month (vs. 0.3% expected), while core CPI rose 0.3% (vs. 0.2% expected), with core CPI holding at 0.3% for a third consecutive month. Housing accounted for over 30% of the increase, while food rebounded 0.5%

No year-over-year data was available due to the impact of last year's shutdown, but inflation remains sticky. Waller had previously said he would consider a 50bp hike if core CPI came in at 0.3%. After the data release, a 25bp hike in December was all but certain, while

FeaturedThe sharp declines in BTC and ETH for two consecutive days look to me like the beginning of a bear market, not a bull market at all

As someone in the cryptocurrency industry, this isn’t what I want to see either, but we still need to analyze things calmly

The sentiment is there, and the setup is there; this cycle hasn’t seen a black swan yet

Compared with the peak, although the last drop to 60k was already substantial, it still falls short compared with previous cycles

I feel a bigger drop is still coming

First, watch for BTC to fall below 70k and ETH below 1,800

#美国10月CPI全面超预期 ‌

The U.S. October CPI data will be officially released Tuesday at 21:30, following September's previous reading of 3.7%. Amid expectations of persistent inflation, market participants have reached a clear consensus, with most betting that the Fed will directly raise rates by 25 basis points in December.

Cumulative trading volume for this macro prediction market has now exceeded $16.7 million, as bulls and bears engage in intense trading ahead of Tuesday evening's data release.

#美国10月CPI即将公布

All three major indices rose over 2%: The Trade Desk surged 15% as three forces drove a U.S. stock rebound

1. Why did the broader market surge?

Easing U.S.-Iran tensions, with a high-level meeting between U.S. and Qatari officials advancing Middle East negotiations, sent international oil prices plunging over 4.5% in a single day, directly easing market fears that higher energy prices would trigger a second wave of inflation

After the Nasdaq plunged nearly 5% last week, risk sentiment quickly reversed as geopolitical headwinds abated, and investors rushed back in

2. Why did AI stocks rally

Good night

Unitree Robotics surged 12% against the market yesterday—you turned out to be the best!

The rise was mainly driven by the following three factors
1. Key catalyst: Plans to establish a joint venture with CNPC focused on industrial embodied AI applications such as oil and gas inspections and emergency response (Kunlun Group 60%, Unitree 20%), taking the plans a step beyond strategic investment and a strategic memorandum and strengthening commercialization expectations

2. Industry and sentiment moving in tandem: The humanoid robot sector strengthened overall, while earlier policy support, pro

The U.S. October CPI data will be officially released on Tuesday at 21:30. The previous reading for September CPI was 3.7%, and the key focus is whether inflation can continue its cooling trend.

The market currently puts the probability of the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points in December at 77%, while the probability of holding rates steady has fallen sharply to 23%.

Trading activity in prediction markets continues to rise, with cumulative trading volume for the prediction event now reaching $16.7 million.

#美国10月CPI即将公布