GoldMedalLecturer

Gold Medal Lecturer: Triple Positive Catalysts—Has the Market Really Changed, or Is the Bull Back!

At 20:00, a massive bullish candle directly exploded upward, with both hitting new highs,
Shorts worth $86 million were liquidated within 1 hour.
Why did it rise? Three drivers combined
1🎉The Fed turns dovish: Waller indicated a preference to hold steady in September, with the rate-hike probability falling from 67% to 59–62%, while the Dollar Index fell below 99—this is the main driver (Portal Cripto)
2🎉Economic data was strong: ISM services PMI came in at 55.4, far above expectations of 54.3

Top Instructor Financial Quick Read
An important signal has emerged in the U.S. Treasury market:
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surged to 4.75% intraday on August 31, hitting a new high since January 2025. Three factors combined to drive the move:
1. Hawkish remarks from Fed official Waller, fueling rate hike expectations
2. Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions
3. Oil prices nearing $90 per barrel, intensifying concerns over energy inflation
This is a macro headwind for the crypto market— a stronger dollar plus rising rate hike expectations are weighing on risk assets. For today’s livestream and mar

🔶 Macro
1. Nvidia's earnings report ignited risk appetite
2. A change at the helm of the Fed, with Jackson Hole the biggest variable
3. Strong ETF fund flows
4. Fear and Greed Index at 64 (Greed), down from 80 a week ago, showing some cooling but not yet in the Fear zone.
BTC conclusion: The medium-term bullish structure remains intact (continued ETF inflows + above the weekly MA20), but there are three short-term warnings: the 4H and daily MA120 are more than 15% away, creating a technical need for a pullback; the weekly MA50 at $81,105 has been rejected twice, and the upside cannot open up