BreadthHunter

News from the Bizjie.net: as a mediator pushes for the US and Iran to reach a new ceasefire agreement, Brent crude oil prices fell in early trading, dropping back below $90 per barrel. An analyst at ING said this will not be an easy task, as there are still major differences between the US and Iran. Meanwhile, Yemen’s Houthi forces have announced a blockade of Saudi shipping. This development will severely disrupt supply and prevent oil shipments bound for Asia from being transported south through the Strait of Hormuz. However, judging from the oil price trend this morning, the market may not believe the blockade will succeed.

CoinWorld says BTC’s 25 Delta Skew is gradually normalizing: the distribution of downside put premium between the short end and the long end is becoming more even, and discounted trades in the front end have clearly declined. For put options across major expiry dates, traders are still buying call options at a premium, and the gap is narrowing toward consistency. Compared with the front-end repricing in June, the current term structure is pricing downside protection more uniformly.

#WarshTestimonyMeetsCPI
Financial markets are entering a critical period as investors evaluate both Kevin Warsh's policy commentary and the latest U.S. CPI inflation data.
Together, these events could significantly influence Federal Reserve expectations, Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar, equities, cryptocurrencies, and overall global risk sentiment.
Market Overview
The current market environment is characterized by elevated volatility, mixed economic signals, and cautious institutional positioning. Investors are waiting for macroeconomic clarity before making large directional bets.
Current Market Update
Risk assets remain sensitive to inflation expectations. Technology stocks, AI-related companies, cryptocurrencies, and equity futures continue reacting to every shift in interest-rate expectations.
Live Market Overview
Markets are trading near important technical levels as investors prepare for increased volatility following the CPI release and policy commentary.
Price Performance
Recent sessions have produced alternating gains and losses, reflecting uncertainty rather than a confirmed long-term trend.
Technical Analysis
Price action remains inside established trading ranges. Moving averages continue acting as dynamic support and resistance while momentum remains neutral.
Market Structure
The medium-term structure remains constructive, although short-term volatility has increased due to macroeconomic uncertainty.
Trend Analysis
The longer-term trend remains positive, but confirmation above resistance is required before another sustained bullish leg can develop.
Support Levels
Major support remains near previous consolidation zones where institutional buyers previously entered the market.
Resistance Levels
Key resistance is located around recent swing highs where sellers have repeatedly taken profits.
Key Buying Zones
Gradual accumulation near major support levels offers a more disciplined approach than chasing breakouts.
Key Selling Zones
Profit-taking generally increases near historical resistance levels following sharp rallies.
Bullish Scenario
A softer-than-expected CPI combined with supportive policy commentary could improve liquidity expectations and fuel gains across equities, AI stocks, semiconductor companies, and cryptocurrencies.
Bearish Scenario
Higher inflation or hawkish policy expectations may strengthen the U.S. dollar, push Treasury yields higher, and pressure risk assets.
Volume Analysis
Institutional participation has increased ahead of the announcement, indicating expectations for larger-than-normal price swings.
Momentum Indicators
RSI remains neutral, MACD awaits confirmation, and moving averages continue defining the primary trend.
AI & Semiconductor Industry Update
The AI sector continues benefiting from long-term demand driven by cloud computing, enterprise AI adoption, advanced chips, and data-center expansion.
Business Fundamentals
Corporate earnings, revenue growth, and long-term investment remain supportive despite short-term macroeconomic uncertainty.
Institutional Sentiment
Professional investors remain cautiously optimistic while maintaining disciplined risk management before major economic releases.
Market Catalysts
Key catalysts include CPI inflation, Federal Reserve expectations, Treasury yields, earnings reports, labor-market data, and geopolitical developments.
Risk Factors
Persistent inflation, delayed rate cuts, weaker economic growth, and geopolitical risks remain the primary concerns.
Today's Market Outlook
High volatility is expected throughout today's trading session as investors digest incoming macroeconomic data.
Short-Term Outlook
Expect rapid price swings until markets establish a confirmed post-announcement direction.
Mid-Term Outlook
If inflation continues moderating, risk assets could gradually regain momentum over the coming months.
Long-Term Outlook
Long-term prospects remain constructive due to innovation, AI adoption, digital transformation, and improving productivity.
Futures Market Analysis
Futures positioning suggests traders expect elevated volatility immediately following the economic releases.
Advanced Trading Strategy
Wait for confirmation before entering trades, scale positions gradually, and avoid emotional decision-making during high-volatility events.
Risk Management
Use predefined stop losses, proper position sizing, favorable risk-reward ratios, and controlled leverage.
Key Price Targets
Monitor breakout confirmation above resistance or breakdown below support before adjusting trading targets.
Trading Plan
Swing traders should wait for trend confirmation, while day traders should focus on disciplined execution and strict risk controls.
Investment Perspective
Long-term investors should prioritize fundamentally strong companies and diversified portfolios instead of reacting emotionally to short-term volatility.
Conclusion
Kevin Warsh's testimony and the latest CPI report could shape expectations for future Federal Reserve policy and determine the next major move across global financial markets. Patience, disciplined execution, and strong risk management remain essential during high-impact macroeconomic events.
Engagement Question
Do you believe the CPI report will trigger a bullish breakout across global markets, or will inflation concerns lead to another wave of selling?

CoinWorld News: The United States has officially passed a law prohibiting the Federal Reserve from issuing a digital dollar before 2031. The bill is titled the “21st Century Housing Act,” and it became law after Trump did not veto it. Under the new law, the Federal Reserve is legally banned from issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC) or any “substantially similar” currency before December 2030. Stablecoins such as USDT and USDC are explicitly exempt and unaffected.

#GUSDYieldRisesto3.8%
The digital asset industry continues to evolve rapidly, and one of the latest developments attracting attention is the increase in the GUSD yield to 3.8 percent. This update reflects the growing demand for stable, yield-generating digital products that combine capital stability with passive income opportunities. According to recent updates, the higher yield is part of Gate's GUSD program, which aims to provide competitive returns while maintaining a focus on lower-volatility assets.
Market Overview
The cryptocurrency market has gradually expanded beyond simple buying and selling. Investors are increasingly looking for products that can generate relatively stable returns without exposing them to the high price swings commonly associated with Bitcoin and many altcoins. Yield-bearing digital assets have therefore become an important segment of the industry.
The increase of GUSD's yield to 3.8 percent comes at a time when demand for real-world-asset-backed and income-focused crypto products continues to grow. These products appeal to users seeking predictable returns while remaining active within the digital asset ecosystem.
What Is GUSD
GUSD is a yield-generating digital certificate available through the Gate ecosystem. Users can convert supported stable assets into GUSD and receive returns that are distributed based on the product's yield mechanism. The program is designed to provide a relatively stable earning opportunity compared with more speculative crypto investments.
Why The Yield Increase Matters
An increase from previous levels to 3.8 percent may appear modest, but for many long-term investors it represents a meaningful improvement in annual returns. Higher yields can make stable-income products more attractive, especially during periods when cryptocurrency prices remain volatile.
This change may also encourage greater participation from users who prefer conservative investment strategies rather than actively trading highly volatile assets.
Benefits For Investors
A higher annual yield can provide several potential advantages.
More competitive passive income.
Greater capital efficiency.
Improved portfolio diversification
Lower volatility compared with many cryptocurrencies.
Daily earning opportunities depending on product terms.
Risks To Consider
Although yield products are generally designed to be more stable than many crypto assets, they are not completely free from risk. Investors should understand the product structure, platform terms, liquidity conditions, and any applicable redemption rules before participating.
As with every financial product, returns can change over time depending on market conditions and the underlying yield sources.
Market Outlook
The growth of tokenized real-world assets and yield-focused digital products suggests that this sector could continue expanding. Investors are increasingly interested in combining blockchain technology with stable income opportunities, making products like GUSD an important part of the evolving digital finance landscape.
If demand continues increasing, yield-bearing digital certificates may become a larger component of diversified crypto portfolios in the years ahead.
Conclusion
The increase of GUSD's yield to 3.8 percent represents another step in the development of stable earning opportunities within the crypto industry. While the product may appeal to investors seeking more predictable returns, every investment decision should be based on individual financial goals, risk tolerance, and careful research.
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.

According to SoSoValue data, as of July 7 Eastern Time, Bitcoin spot ETFs had a total net inflow of $21.44M, marking three consecutive days of net inflows. Ethereum spot ETFs had a total net inflow of $26.9252 million, marking four consecutive days of net inflows.

According to Coin World News, the U.S. Central Command: U.S. forces struck Iranian air defense systems, command and control networks, coastal radar stations, anti-ship missile capabilities, and over 60 small boats of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in and around the Strait, aiming to weaken Iran's ability to continue attacking international merchant ships passing through this international trade corridor.

Coin World News, according to CME "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 73.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 26.7%. The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged by September is 32.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 52.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate hike is 14.9%.

CoinWorld news: On the 4th, according to local time, Gharibabadi, Deputy Foreign Minister of the Islamic Republic of Iran, posted on social media stating that the Strait of Hormuz is not a stage for non-regional countries to showcase military power, and Iran warned against any military actions taken in this sensitive waterway. Gharibabadi emphasized that the security of the Strait of Hormuz should be jointly maintained by the coastal states, and any party that creates a crisis will be held responsible for the consequences of its reckless actions.

CoinWorld News, according to ARK Invest Tracker data, Cathie Wood's ARK Invest yesterday increased its holdings of 287,609 shares of Circle stock (approximately $17.81 million) and 27,740 shares of Bullish stock (approximately $700k).

$SUI Short Setup | Bearish Momentum in Focus
🔴 Direction: SHORT
🎯 Entry: 0.6844 – 0.6852
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.6985
Take Profit Targets: 🎯 TP1: 0.6635
🎯 TP2: 0.6539
🎯 TP3: 0.6437
🧠 Trade Thesis $SUI is approaching a key technical resistance zone while the broader market structure remains bearish. With BTC showing weakness across the 4H and 1H timeframes, this setup favors downside continuation if the entry zone is confirmed.
As always, wait for confirmation before entering and manage risk accordingly.
📉 Trade smart. Stay disciplined.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
#Get2SharesOfSKHynixAtZeroCost

Multicoin pointed out that the market only views Hyperliquid as a rapidly growing perpetual swap DEX, underestimating the potential valuation space of HYPE. If it becomes a comprehensive trading platform covering more assets, HYPE could reach about $319 in 2028. Since February this year, it has been continuously increasing its holdings, and is now an important position in liquidity hedge funds. The report estimates annualized revenue of about $8 billion in 2028, and Hyunsu Jung said that it should be valued based on the valuation of traditional platforms such as CME/IB/Robinhood, rather than just as a perpetual swap exchange.

$BLUR delivered exactly the kind of bearish move we were watching for after the breakdown.
The selling pressure continued to build, and the market followed through with a sharp decline, rewarding traders who stayed patient and trusted the setup.
The move has now reached around 10% to the downside, making it a solid result for those who managed their position according to the plan.
This is another reminder that waiting for confirmation and following price action can often provide high-probability trading opportunities.
Congratulations to everyone who caught the move and locked in profits. As always, protect your gains and let the market guide your next decision.

CryptoWorld News reports that Iranian parliament member Novin: Trump, in his war narrative, whitewashes failure as victory. Today, the world regards Iran as a fourth pole power and an emerging major country.

CryptoWorld News: PremiumBlock launches a non-custodial risk center, integrating decentralized prediction markets, perpetual contracts, and Web3 poker, offering wallet-native market creation, trading, and participation. The platform supports crypto perpetual contracts with up to 2.5x leverage, community-driven prediction markets across crypto, sports, politics, culture, macroeconomics, and more, as well as Web3 poker, building three core risk pillars centered on fund control.

JieWorld news reports that Galaxy Research researcher Alex Thorn analyzed that the signals for the top of Bitcoin’s current cycle are mild, with the network cost basis at 43.7% of the historical high. The expected baseline bottom range is $40000 to $460000, the deep washout scenario is $30000 to $37000, the shallow dip scenario is $51000 to $54000, and if panic selling occurs, the bottom could move down to $28000. CryptoQuant’s monitoring shows that Bitcoin’s spot price is approximately $59000, which is 9% higher than the realized price of $53600. Over the past week, the combined demand from speculative futures and spot decreased by 652,000 BTC.