$ZEC

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The market structure on the 1-hour timeframe reveals a distinct V-shaped recovery; ZEC established a swing high at 992.40, underwent a prolonged corrective phase bottoming out at 801.42, and has since printed a higher low structure leading to a forceful impulsive leg up. On the 15-minute chart, we see a localized structural shift where price consolidated around the 827 level before breaking out aggressively to tag the 24h high of 930.04, creating a new micro-range. Currently, the structure is in a consolidation phase at the upper bounds (around 897), digesting the recent volatility as the market decides whether to continue the macro trend reversal or retrace to test the recent 15m order block support.

The 1-hour K-line analysis shows a dominant bullish engulfing momentum candle that invalidated the previous downtrend, followed by a series of smaller body candles indicating a pause in volatility but maintained buying pressure. The 15-minute chart shows a "shooting star" style rejection at 930.04 followed by a retracement; however, the price is holding above the critical moving averages (MA5 and MA10). The volume profile on the 15m chart shows a significant spike corresponding to the breakout, but volume has tapered off during this current consolidation, suggesting the market is catching its breath rather than reversing.

On the 1-hour chart, the bottom reversal is marked by a Bullish Engulfing pattern followed by a Three White Soldiers formation, signaling strong trend reversal. On the 15-minute chart, the peak at 930.04 is characterized by a Shooting Star (or a gravestone doji variant) indicating seller rejection at the highs, followed by a Bearish Harami or small inside bars, showing indecision and a minor pullback.

✅️Trading plan

· Entry Strategy: I will look for a long entry on a pullback to the 15-minute MA10 or the psychological support level of 880-885. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 905 with volume would justify a momentum entry.
· Stop Loss: A strict stop loss below the recent 15-minute swing low and the MA support cluster at 865.00.
· Take Profit: Initial target at the recent high of 930.00, with a secondary target at the 1H resistance level of 954.20.
· Risk Management: Risking 1-2% of capital per trade.

I predict a bullish continuation. The 1-hour MACD is trending upward with histogram growth, and the price is trading well above the moving averages. While the 15-minute chart shows short-term weakness (MACD crossing down), the higher timeframe momentum suggests this is merely a flag consolidation. I expect the price to find support in the 880-890 zone and attempt a re-test of the 930 liquidity pool.

🔴What trade plan i follow and why❓️

I am following a Trend-Following Pullback Strategy. Why? Because the 1-hour structure has clearly shifted from bearish to bullish (bottom at 801 to high at 930). Trading in the direction of the higher timeframe momentum (1H) while using the lower timeframe (15m) to optimize entry price reduces risk and increases the probability of hitting targets. I do not want to short a strong recovery trend, and I do not want to chase the top at 899; waiting for a micro-pullback is the safest execution.

🔴When i start my trade❓️

I will start my trade when the 15-minute RSI cools down from overbought territory and the price touches the MA5 (around 892) or MA10 (around 885) and prints a bullish reversal candle (like a hammer or engulfing). I will also wait for the 15-minute MACD to show signs of curling back up or reducing its bearish histogram.

Bullish Bias. The asset has shown tremendous resilience in recovering from the drop to 801.42. While short-term consolidation is occurring at 897, the overall market structure is sound for a move back toward the 950s. Monitor the 865 level closely; as long as price holds above this pivot, the bullish thesis remains intact.#