Post

Looking at the 1-Hour and 4-Hour charts,of $BTC we are witnessing the final leg (CD) of a Bullish Gartley Pattern. Here is how the points map out:



· Point X: The initial swing high at $70,216 (visible on the 1H chart).

· Point A: The swing low after X. (Note: Based on the visible chart data, the exact A point isn't fully defined, but we can assume the overall structure is searching for a reversal).

· Point B: The retracement high.

· Point C: The lower high before the final drop.

· Point D (The PRZ): The recent capitulation low at $62,003.9.

🟠Why is $62,003.9 the D Point?

In a valid Gartley, the D point must hit the 78.6% retracement of the XA leg. The chart shows a sharp, V-shaped rejection exactly at the $62k level (visible as a massive wick/pin bar on the 1H and 5m charts). This price action at the D point is the classic "Potential Reversal Zone" (PRZ) reaction we look for.

📉 The CD Leg (The Final Stretch)

Look at the steep decline from roughly $67,000 down to $62,003.

· This leg typically extends 127.2% to 161.8% of the BC leg.

· The momentum on this drop (seen in the MACD histogram on the 4H chart) was extreme, which is common for the final CD leg before exhaustion.

· The immediate, aggressive bounce off $62,003 confirms that buyers were waiting in that specific PRZ.

🎯 The Gartley Trade Plan

Since the pattern has completed at Point D and is now bouncing, we are looking to trade the reversal back toward the upside. The current price is $64,440.

1. Entry (The Trigger)

· Ideal Entry: $62,003 was the perfect entry at the wick. Since we missed it, the current entry at **$64,440** is a breakout entry.

· Confirmation: The 5-minute chart shows the price breaking above the local consolidation (around $64,100). A close above $64,676 (the local high on the 5m chart) is a valid entry trigger.

2. Stop Loss (Pattern Invalidation)

· Level: $61,800

· Logic: In Gartley trading, if price breaks below Point X, the pattern is invalid. Since X is far up at $70k, we use Point D as our ultimate invalidation. If price drops below the $62,003 wick, the bullish Gartley has failed, and you must exit immediately.

3. Take Profit (Fibonacci Targets)
Harmonic traders use the Fibonacci levels of the AD leg (the swing from X to D) for targets:

· TP 1 (38.2% retracement of AD): Roughly around $65,200 - $65,500. This is the first major resistance you can see on the 1H chart.

· TP 2 (61.8% retracement of AD): Roughly around $66,800. Notice on the 1H chart, this is exactly where the heavy red sell-off started.

· TP 3 (Point C): $68,573.

4. Risk-to-Reward Setup

· Entry: $64,440

· Stop Loss: $61,800 (Risk: $2,640)

· Target 1: $65,500 (Reward: $1,060) -> You would need to wait for TP2 to get a good R:R.

· Target 2: $66,800 (Reward: $2,360)

· Verdict: Because you are entering after the initial bounce, the risk is slightly elevated. It is highly recommended to trail your stop-loss to breakeven as soon as the price hits the TP1 zone ($65,500) to protect your capital.

Summary: The charts show a textbook rejection at a potential D point ($62k). The plan is to go Long on the breakout, keeping a strict stop just below the $62k wick, and targeting the Fibonacci retracements of the previous massive drop.#BitcoinDropsBelow$70K
This page contains third-party content and does not constitute any advice, nor does it represent Gate's endorsement of such views. For details, please see disclaimer.
BTCBTC-0.67%

  • 2

Add a comment
Add a comment

Comment 2
FantomFan
If AC were still around, this chart would probably be drawn more elegantly
CoffeeAndCandles
Gartley meditation, that 62k wick looks like my coffee stain