If fertilizer supplies dry up, the question won’t be whether food prices will rise, but whether you’ll still be able to buy food at all. The Strait of Hormuz is closed, and executives over in Brazil are saying most operations have already halted. This isn’t a prediction—it’s already happening. If you have food, wait for prices to rise; if you don’t, stock up now. Are the supermarket shelves still full where you are? I’ve started keeping an eye on things here. If you’re watching #粮食安全 , give it a follow.