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U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Suddenly Top Expectations! Is the Labor Market Starting to Loosen, Giving the Fed Another Headache?



Fresh news from the U.S. labor market! On November 12 local time, the U.S. Department of Labor released the latest data: for the week ending November 7, initial jobless claims rose by 9,000 to 200,000, above market expectations of 195,000.
What does this mean? Simply put, more people in the U.S. workforce have joined the ranks of those applying for unemployment benefits. Although 200,000 may sound like a lot, in the context of the country’s vast labor market, it’s not exactly a storm just yet.
More interestingly, while initial claims rose, continuing claims fell by 20,000 to 1.697 million. In other words, there were a few more new applicants, but fewer people continued to receive benefits.
This data is a bit like a weather forecast: a few clouds are drifting in, but it’s not quite stormy yet.
What the market is really watching is whether the labor market will continue to cool, and how the Fed will balance employment and inflation next.
After all, an economy that’s too hot risks inflation, while one that’s too cold risks recession. Sitting in the middle, the Fed probably can’t even enjoy a cup of coffee in peace!$NAS100 #美国初请失业金人数高于预期
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