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$AGT After a massive 200% pump, will the whales “slaughter the pigs” or “feed them”? Retail traders, take note!
When longs start paying to hold their positions, the market often enters the “picking up the tab” phase.
Personal take and case study: Whale data is telling—99 long addresses are sitting on 8.21 million in unrealized profits, while 67 short addresses are down 1.42 million. This extreme profit-to-loss ratio is fertile ground for a reversal. The funding rate has turned positive at +0.0347%, meaning longs chasing the rally are paying shorts, while buying support is clearly failing to keep up.
Derivatives signals are even more direct: Open interest surged 11.9% even as prices fell, pointing to “new shorts entering” rather than longs taking profits. The big players are most likely planning to “fatten them up before slaughtering them”: using choppy price action at elevated levels to get longs settled into their positions, then waiting for 26.67 million tokens to unlock and hit the market on November 13 before turning around and liquidating longs.
The liquidation map confirms this too: Short liquidations around 0.08 above the current price total about $500k, but below, long liquidations exceed $2.1 million, leaving more “fuel” for a move down.
Trading advice: Aggressive traders can go long now; cautious traders should patiently wait for a pullback to around 0.055–0.060 before going long.
What do you think—before the unlock, will the big players first squeeze shorts and then dump, or drive the price straight down? @老张说趋势 teaches you practical survival skills.
#Gate直通IPO第三期Anthropic #美国就业数据今晚公布