Post
Bullish
Xiaohan’s 3.96u-to-200,000 diary, Day 1: The market has reversed, and $KGEN meme coins are leading the way. Have you entered? (Xiaohan gave an early heads-up, as the posts show.)
kgen
KGENUSDT
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-5.73%
‌ First, the analysis: Yesterday, Xiaohan said $BTC BTC shouldn’t rush to buy the dip yet. Wait until after the November 11 MicroStrategy event (MicroStrategy may be removed from the US MSCI index list on November 11, triggering bearish selling pressure, along with the bearish COL data that came in above expectations yesterday or the day before)#美国10月CPI全面超预期
After those two bearish catalysts pass, the bad news is out, which can trigger a rebound. And as Xiaohan flagged yesterday, KGEN is leading the way today as expected.
Both predictions were right, but the BIRB prediction was wrong. The trade still later hit breakeven take-profit, though—a shame.
As for market news, after all the bearish catalysts have passed, we can see that US stocks rebounded first, followed by cryptocurrencies like BTC, ETH, and SOL. Prices have now stabilized, but it’s still unclear whether they’ll fall again, since there’s still no clear positive catalyst (the midterm elections and other bearish factors are still having a major impact).
But! Whales have already been buying the dip around BTC 72,000 and ETH 2,000. On-chain data doesn’t lie: they’ve bought the dip with several hundred million or so.
Xiaohan still recommends mainly waiting on the major coins (or perhaps trying to go long around BTC 72,500)!
For altcoins, focus on meme coins: get in early and leave once you’ve made a profit!#每周来晒
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FangHan_sCryptocurrenc
Stocks have reversed, but $BTC is still falling. The bear market is here; speculative coins lead.
At this point, it seems there’s no opportunity to go long on core coins like BTC, ETH, and sol. We can only wait until the market has genuinely stabilized on positive news before entering, for example, after the MicroStrategy situation is settled on November 11.
Whenever the market turns bearish, a few highly volatile coins tend to emerge; failing that, altcoins may stage a major reversal or see modest gains. At present, one worth going long on or with short-term support is $KGEN (last night was the best entry). Based on its price action, it could see a decent rebound. Xiaohan opened a position in magic today and will close it tomorrow to switch into birb and give it a try.
The market is bearish for now, and the negative news is too heavy (especially tomorrow’s MicroStrategy situation). I don’t recommend trying to bottom-fish BTC or ETH. Just use low leverage to open positions in some altcoins with speculative-coin potential. #每周来晒 #美伊谈判出现新进展 {currencycard:futures}(KGEN_USDT) ‌{currencycard:futures}(BTC_USDT) ‌
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KGENKGEN-5.73%
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Comment 4
CrossChainHerder
I checked those whale addresses on-chain. There were indeed several large transfers into CEXs around 72k and 2k, but the transfers out were spread over three days, so it doesn’t look like the same group of people. It looks more like institutions splitting orders to rebalance. KGEN’s smart-money inflows are quite concentrated, but early profit-takers have already exited in two waves, and the entry cost for buyers now is nearly 40% higher than that of the wallet I was tracking two weeks ago.
Fang Han_s CryptocurrencAuthor
对的
StopLossMonk
Where you set your stop-loss is where your heart is; unfortunately, my trades always go meet the Buddha before I do.
MamaLineGuru
Neither a top nor a bottom fractal has formed, so what's the rush? At best, this is a weak rebound in a continuing downtrend.