Post

(Someone asked me whether this market could be shorted. I said to look at one candle first.)


(The one at 21:00 last night: opened at 84.91, closed at 84.08, with 2.89x volume.)
(The heaviest of the 48 candles, and in the end neither side won.)
(“It dropped 6.75 bucks. Just follow it with a short and you’re done.”)
(I believed that before. I believed it twice last year, and both times the market moved the other way.)
(On 11-10 at 23:00, it touched 81.27 on 2.52x volume. That was a bottom formed by a sell-off.)
(Over the next 24 hours, the low rose from 82.24 to 83.69 and didn’t break lower again.)
(Now $SOL 83.79, just a little above 83.19.)
(Funding rate 0.0029%; the longs aren’t even willing to pay extra overnight fees.)
(I don’t see the shorts winning in this market, only that neither side wants to move.)
(I’ll go short if it breaks below 81.27; we can talk about going long again above 85.2. I’m sitting out the range in between.)
(Not investment advice. You are responsible for your own gains and losses)
View Original
post-image
This page contains third-party content and does not constitute any advice, nor does it represent Gate's endorsement of such views. For details, please see disclaimer.
SOLSOL-0.74%

  • 2

Add a comment
Add a comment

Comment 8
LateEntryLarry
81.27 是砸出来的底,可我现在才看到,算晚吗
FishRod
Someone in the phishing group posted a “buy-the-dip link” at 84.91 today. I sent it right back to them
RiskDev
This amount was treated as an outlier in my backtest, so the strategy skipped it outright
FalseBreakHunter
You entered this candle at 84.08—should the stop-loss be at 84.91 or 85.2? And those two times last year, where did you set the fake-breakout highs? When the price went against you, did it hit your stop-loss, or did you ride out the unrealized loss until it recovered?
ReportThermometer
Volume is high, but it still hasn’t picked a direction, and the funding rate is so suppressed—I keep feeling like a piece of data isn’t lining up. How’s the buildup in the 84 to 85 range on the liquidation heatmap you’re watching
StableFarm
Stablecoin outflows weren't mentioned; Curve 3pool's share changed last week
ContractReverse
2.89x volume; are there nested calls in the contract
VaultKeeper
With the rate at 0.0029%, shouldn’t premiums for long positions in the insurance pool also be discounted