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Looking at the 15m chart, we have witnessed a massive bullish market structure shift (MSS) after a sharp capitulation down to the 51.04 low. The price has broken out of the lower Bollinger Band and established a strong, sustained uptrend, riding the upper band and consistently closing above the moving averages (MA5 and MA10). The K-lines are showing strong bullish momentum with shallow pullbacks, indicating aggressive buyers are in control. We are currently testing the 24h high resistance at 65.36, and the volume profile confirms strong participation on this upward leg.
On the recent price action, we see a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Notably, right before the latest push to the 65.36 top, there was a strong bullish engulfing/marubozu-style candle that broke through previous consolidation, followed by a minor doji/inverted hammer (the red "S" mark) which simply acts as a brief rest before another bullish continuation candle.
My prediction is that we are currently in a "buy the dip" environment on lower timeframes, but we are approaching a potential overextension near 65.36. I expect a minor pullback or consolidation to the mid-Bollinger Band (around 63.70) or the MA10 (around 64.64) before the next leg up. My trade plan is to look for a long entry on a retest of this support zone, rather than chasing the green candle at the very top. I will wait for a clear bullish reversal candlestick (like a hammer or pin bar) on the 15m chart near the 64.50-64.60 area to confirm buyers are stepping back in.
I follow this plan because buying at the top of the Bollinger Band after a massive 17% intraday run is high-risk; a retracement to the moving averages offers a much better risk-to-reward ratio. I will start my trade only when the price retraces to the 64.50-64.60 zone and prints a bullish confirmation candle with declining sell volume, as indicated by the MACD starting to turn flat or cross bullish.
The overall trend is heavily bullish, driven by strong volume and positive MACD momentum (DIF > DEA). However, the short-term setup suggests a temporary exhaustion. Verdict: Bullish but wait for a pullback. Do not chase the 65.36 high; set a limit order or wait for confirmation near 64.60 to ride the next wave upward. If it breaks 65.36 with volume, the next target is 68+.#USAICStocksFallBroadly