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Bearish

The prediction was spot-on! $ETH To everyone stuck in a 2150 long, are you okay after that wick?



I told you yesterday! If 2090–2110 broke, we’d watch 2000. How did the market move last night? 2090 broke, the price came close to 2003, and RSI plunged to the oversold zone at 17.

You’re still holding that 2150 long, down nearly $90 on paper. I know your palms are sweating right now.

Why was the drop so brutal? Three blows landed at once.
First, U.S. CPI came in well above expectations, and the odds of a rate hike in December shot straight up to 90.5%, draining risk assets across the board.
Second, ETH spot ETFs saw net outflows for 10 consecutive trading days, with $577 million flowing out over the past 5 days—the largest five-day outflow since January this year. BlackRock’s ETHA saw $477 million leave in a week.
The third blow was the harshest—the Ethereum Foundation-linked wallet dumped 2,000 ETH over two days, worth $4.16 million in total, with the average sale price tumbling from 2130 to 2025. The Foundation itself is selling, institutions are pulling out, and your 2150 long is caught in the middle as the cushion.

Look at the liquidation data: ETH led liquidations over the past 24 hours, with longs accounting for as much as 87% at one point. Short-term long leverage was thoroughly flushed out in a concentrated wave. This isn’t a pullback; it’s a slaughterhouse for longs.

So what should you do if you’re stuck in a 2150 long?
Cutting your losses isn’t the only option. The key is your position size, leverage, and remaining margin. The approach for a light position versus a heavy one is worlds apart. Taking a one-size-fits-all approach to “holding” or “cutting” is just giving your money away.

I’ve put together the most critical liquidation price levels and position-splitting recovery plans for the current market. Conditions can change in an instant. The last thing you need right now is to stubbornly hold on.

Bring your position details and risk tolerance, @老张说趋势 and let’s sort out your position. There’s still a way out of this!

#美国10月CPI全面超预期 $BTC
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Comment 6
HalvingGuardian
$4.16 million, sitting safe and sound in a cold wallet.
FloorDiver
87% of long positions have been liquidated; the floor is awash in blood, and my hands are itching. But at 2150, if it wicks lower again, will your margin be enough to hold on until 2025?
LeverageHound
Got screwed again. Just get used to it.
CrossChainWanderer
Even the gas fee for a cross-chain transfer is cheaper than the stop-loss on this trade.
SlippageHunter
Is the foundation selling through a DEX or CEX? How much slippage?
CycleWatcher
At 2003, this is a normal pullback depth in the halving cycle, but institutions are pulling capital out faster than in 2022, so keep a close eye on the credit cycle’s turning point.