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The market structure has recently shifted from a strong bearish impulse to a consolidation phase. After the massive drop from the 0.17310 high down to the 0.07773 low, the price has stabilized and is now attempting to form a local base, currently trading around 0.11118 with a slight recovery of +8.88%.
The K-lines show a "V-shaped" recovery followed by a tight squeeze. The price is currently compressing between the Bollinger Bands, with the Middle Band (MB) at 0.10705 acting as immediate dynamic support and the Upper Band (UB) at 0.11564 acting as resistance. The volatility is contracting, which usually precedes a breakout.
Candlestick Pattern
The recent candles are showing small bodies with wicks on both sides, indicating indecision. However, the previous candle was a green candle that pushed the price above the middle Bollinger Band, suggesting buyers are trying to regain control.
I predict a short-term bullish continuation if the price holds above the 0.107 support level. The MACD histogram is showing reduced selling momentum (red bars getting smaller), and the MACD lines are converging, which hints at a potential bullish crossover. If volume picks up, we could see a test of the 0.128 resistance.
Trading Plan
I will look for a long position entry if the price confirms support at the Middle Band (0.107). My first target will be the Upper Bollinger Band (0.1156), and a secondary target at the 0.128 level. My stop loss will be placed below the recent consolidation low, around 0.098 (Lower Band).
🔴What Trade Plan I Follow and Why❓️
I am following a "Mean Reversion / Breakout" strategy. I choose this because the price has bounced off a significant low and is now hugging the middle band. The narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates a breakout is imminent, and the MACD suggests the momentum is shifting from bearish to neutral/bullish.
🔴When I Start My Trade❓️
I will start my trade once the 1-hour candle closes firmly above the Middle Band (0.10705) and the MACD lines cross bullishly. I want to see volume (Vol) increase above the MA5 level to confirm the move.
Cautiously Bullish. The chart shows signs of a bottom formation after a severe correction. The risk-to-reward ratio favors a long position as long as the price stays above the 0.10 psychological level. However, keep an eye on the overall market trend as this coin is highly volatile.