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I’m bullish on AMD because it has had the strongest buying support in this rebound and has performance to back it up in its financial reports.
Data center business doubles: In the third quarter, the data center business grew about 2x, prompting Oppenheimer to upgrade its rating, with a price target of $600[6].
Lands a Google order: Google Cloud’s next-generation TPU 8tx uses AMD EPYC on the host side, giving AMD a visible and measurable share.
Nvidia leaves an opening: Capital is flowing out of Nvidia and into computing stocks with independent growth stories and lower valuations.
Can the rebound continue?
Most likely, the market will remain choppy for a while. Last week’s sharp drop reflected concerns about tighter data center approvals, not the disappearance of AI demand. Morgan Stanley believes the sell-off was overdone, with about 20% of projects merely delayed, not canceled.
Three main things to watch:
October CPI data: A lower-than-expected reading would ease pressure on tech stock valuations.
The pace of overseas project rollouts: Longer order fulfillment timelines would also slow the pace of earnings growth.
Nvidia’s earnings guidance: It is the anchor for the entire sector, and its performance will influence where capital flows.
So AMD is better suited as a “high-growth, high-volatility” pick, and the position should not be too large.$AMD