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BTC, U.S. stocks, or gold—which will fare worst tonight? U.S. CPI exceeds expectations, and the three major assets may face a major test!
Tonight's U.S. CPI release could turn financial markets into a survival game for three major assets.
If inflation once again exceeds expectations, expectations for a Fed rate hike in December may continue to heat up. Once the dollar and Treasury yields start rising, BTC, U.S. stocks, and gold may all have to reassess their worth.
First, BTC. Bitcoin fears not bad news, but a sudden tightening of liquidity. As rate expectations rise, funds may retreat from high-risk assets, putting short-term bulls on alert. Of course, if the market has already priced in the bad news, a reversal—falling first and then rising—is also possible.
Next, U.S. stocks. Tech stock valuations are especially sensitive to interest rates; as the discount rate on future profits rises, share prices may come under pressure. AI concept stocks also can't rely on dreams alone to support their valuations. After all, dreams don't need to pay interest, but financing does.
Finally, gold. Many people think high inflation is always good for gold, but that's not entirely true. If high inflation prompts the Fed to raise rates, a stronger dollar and rising real yields may instead weigh on gold.
So tonight isn't simply a contest between inflation and safe havens, but a battle between interest rates and liquidity.
Which do you think is most likely to be tonight's champion in resisting declines: BTC, gold, or U.S. stocks? #每周来晒 and #美国10月CPI即将公布 $NAS100