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Tonight at 21:30, the US October CPI report will be the focus of global financial markets.
If inflation comes in hotter than expected, the first things to watch may not be BTC or gold, but the dollar and Treasury yields.
Why?
Because these two are often important signals of how markets are repricing Fed policy.
If inflation remains stubborn, investors may think the Fed has little room to ease, further strengthening expectations of a December rate hike. The dollar could find support, and Treasury yields could also rise.
That could then trigger a chain reaction across asset markets.
First, BTC. Tighter liquidity expectations could dampen risk appetite in the short term, leaving crypto assets vulnerable to volatility.
Second, US stocks. Growth stocks, especially tech stocks, could come under pressure from financing costs and valuation discounting.
Third, gold. A stronger dollar and rising real yields could weaken gold’s appeal.
But if the data comes in below expectations, the whole chain could run in reverse, giving risk assets a chance to catch their breath.
What really matters tonight is the order of the market’s reaction: watch the dollar first, then Treasuries, and finally see whether BTC, US stocks, and gold follow.
Financial markets are like dominoes: once the first one falls, others may follow. #每周来晒 and #美国10月CPI即将公布
Who do you think will be first to signal the direction tonight?$MU