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U.S. inflation is back at a critical moment!
October CPI will be released tonight, and the market is waiting for an answer: Are U.S. price pressures cooling, or are they about to cause the Fed trouble again?
It’s worth noting that U.S. CPI was already up 3.7% year over year in September, while market forecasts for October are not entirely consistent. Some recent institutional reports even project that the year-over-year rate could rise to 3.9%. Because of a statistical gap in the data for the same period last year, investors should also pay attention to the monthly figures and core inflation.
If inflation continues to come in above expectations, the Fed will have an even stronger case for raising rates in December.
What does this mean for investors?
The dollar could strengthen, BTC could come under pressure, U.S. growth stocks could face valuation adjustments, and gold could also be hit by rising real yields.
However, if core CPI cools significantly, the market may see inflationary pressures as easing, even if the headline inflation figure doesn’t look great.
That’s why you shouldn’t focus on just one percentage.
Inflation data is like a health checkup: The overall indicators matter, but individual readings shouldn’t be overlooked either.
Tonight, the key figures to watch are headline CPI, core CPI, the monthly rate, and how the market reprices expectations for the December rate decision.
Do you think U.S. inflation will remain stubborn this time, or finally start to give in? #每周来晒 and #美国10月CPI即将公布 $AMD