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Tonight at 9:30 PM, the U.S. October CPI will be released. Rather than guessing whether prices will rise or fall, investors should prepare for three possible scenarios.
Scenario one: Inflation comes in significantly higher than expected. The market may increase bets on a December rate hike, strengthening the dollar and Treasury yields. BTC and tech stocks could come under pressure, and gold may also be weighed down. However, rising risk aversion could change how some assets perform.
Scenario two: Inflation roughly meets expectations. The market may pause briefly as investors wait for Fed officials’ remarks and the next batch of economic data. Asset moves may depend more on positioning and technical factors.
Scenario three: Inflation comes in below expectations. The market may scale back rate-hike bets, the dollar and yields may retreat, and BTC, U.S. stocks, and gold could all find support.
But don’t overlook one detail: Core CPI says more about underlying inflationary pressure than energy-price fluctuations alone.
The most dangerous move tonight is chasing the first big green candle or bailing at the first big red candle.
Before the market gives its answer, don’t rush to turn your own account into a testing ground. #每周来晒 and #美国10月CPI即将公布 $SNDK