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Don't take this trade. At this level $INTC I’m just doing the math from the sidelines, not making a move.


Assessment: Two runs in 24 hours, hit the wall twice, and stalled in the middle.
Basis: At 10:00, it touched 57.24 on 1.2x volume; five hours later, it plunged to 54.19.
A $3.05 drop, down 5.3%, with no decent bounce in between.
Basis: At 17:00, it tested 54.83 on 2.8x volume, the heaviest of the day, and closed at 55.99 with a long lower wick.
Assessment: It climbed from 54.19 back to 56.18, recovering 65% of the drop, and tested ma20 at 56.01.
Entry math: Stop at 54.8 means a loss of 1.38; target at 57.24 means a gain of 1.06.
Risk/reward is 0.77. Taking this trade would be like paying an insurance premium to the other side.
The math on staying out: Worst case, the 22:30 open pushes past 57.24 and I miss part of the move.
I choose to stay on the sidelines; my capital is worth more than the opportunity.
If it gets above 57.24, I’ll reconsider; if it falls below 54.8, forget it.
(Not investment advice; profits and losses are your own responsibility)
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