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Bitcoin investors may want to cut back on a couple of cups of coffee tonight.
The U.S. October CPI is due out soon, and this economic data could directly affect market expectations for the Fed’s December rate policy.
If inflation comes in hotter than expected, markets may quickly ramp up bets on rate hikes. A stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields could fuel expectations of tighter liquidity—clearly bad news for a high-volatility risk asset like Bitcoin.
The reason is simple: the higher interest rates are, the higher the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset, and funds may also flow out of the crypto market.
But BTC won’t just take a beating passively. If inflation cools moderately, markets could again bet on policy easing ahead, risk appetite may recover, and Bitcoin could rebound.
It’s worth watching Treasury yields, the U.S. Dollar Index, and spot Bitcoin ETF flows after the CPI release.
BTC’s biggest enemy tonight may not be the bears, but a single economic data report. #每周来晒 and #USOctoberCPI is due out soon
For the bulls to take off, they’ll first have to see if inflation gives them the green light!$MU