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Gold has always liked playing the safe-haven hero, but this time, even the hero may face a rival.
On November 10 at 21:30, the U.S. October CPI is due for release. If inflation comes in above market expectations, investors may once again bet on a Fed rate hike in December.
Rising rate-hike expectations could push the dollar and Treasury yields higher, while gold, a non-yielding asset, could come under pressure from rising opportunity costs.
In other words, gold could face pressure from both sides: a stronger dollar and a higher opportunity cost of holding gold.
However, gold doesn't have to take the hit. If hotter-than-expected inflation fuels recession fears and geopolitical risks rise, safe-haven flows could return to gold.
So, don't assume gold will fall just because CPI comes in high.
What matters more is real interest rates, the dollar index, and how markets reprice Fed policy.
Gold's biggest enemy may not be inflation itself, but inflation pushing rate expectations too high.
Will the dollar have the last laugh this time, or will gold stage a comeback against the odds? We'll find out soon. #每周来晒 and #美国10月CPI即将公布 $SPCX