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Launch
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Some companies really are excellent, with well-known brands, leading technology, and impressive results. By every measure, they look like top students. But here's the problem: even a top student's tuition can be outrageously expensive!
When I decide whether a stock is worth watching, I never look only at the company's reputation. First, I look at its profitability: are profits growing steadily, and are gross and net margins stable? Next, I check the balance sheet. Excessive debt and steadily rising accounts receivable are both warning signs.
More importantly, I look at valuation. The stock of the same excellent company may be an opportunity when it's trading at a reasonable price, but if it rises to a level that already prices in several years of future earnings, it could become a hot potato.
I also watch institutional expectations and market sentiment. If positive news is everywhere but the stock stops rising and starts falling, it's worth asking whether everyone has already priced in the good news.
Investing isn't about giving companies awards; it's about calculating whether you can make money after buying. A great company brings quality; a good price brings safety. You need both. Otherwise, you're not buying a stock—you're buying into your own faith!$MU