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NYT is currently trading at 65.57 in pre-market, down 1.33%. The stock is experiencing a significant bearish correction, having fallen sharply from recent highs near 71.51 down to a low of 64.54. It is currently attempting to find a floor, but overall market structure remains heavily damaged in the short term.
· Resistance: 66.77 - 66.89 (MA60 and MA120 cluster) and 68.72 (MA30).
· Support: 64.54 (Recent swing low) and psychological 65.00.
· Current Pivot: 65.57 (Current price action).
The 4-hour chart reveals a brutal sell-off, characterized by several large, consecutive red candles that shattered all major moving averages. The price action is currently pinned below the MA5 (66.09), indicating immediate weakness. However, the most recent candle is showing a long lower wick, suggesting buyers stepped in aggressively at the 64.54 level to defend support. The MACD is deep in negative territory (DIF: -0.52), confirming strong bearish momentum, though the histogram shows slight tapering, hinting at potential exhaustion of the immediate downtrend.
· Bullish (Reversal): A strong 4-hour close above 66.00 would confirm the long lower wick as a reversal signal, targeting the heavy resistance cluster at 66.80.
· Bearish (Continuation): A failure to hold current levels and a breakdown below 64.54 would trigger a continuation of the macro downtrend, likely sending the stock toward the 63.00 area.
Market Bias
Bearish to Neutral (Short-Term). The prevailing trend is strongly downward, but the recent price action suggests a temporary bottom may be forming. The market is currently in a "wait and see" mode as it tests critical support.
My Prediction vs. My Perspective
· Prediction: I expect a short-term relief bounce or sideways consolidation as the market digests the recent drop, likely retesting the 66.50 area before deciding the next move.
· Perspective: Catching a falling knife is dangerous. While the long wick is promising for bulls, the massive overhead resistance (moving averages) makes any immediate rally difficult. The stock needs time to base.
My Trade Plan
· Long Setup: Wait for a confirmed 4-hour close above 66.10 (clearing MA5) to play the bounce. Target: 66.80. Stop Loss: 65.00.
· Short Setup: Enter short if price breaks and closes below 64.50. Target: 63.00. Stop Loss: 65.50.
· Action: Wait. Do not trade in the middle of this wide range. Let the price prove itself at support or resistance.
NYT is in a sharp correction but finding buyers at the 64.50 support level. Momentum remains bearish, but a short-term bounce is possible. Avoid chasing the drop; wait for a clear rejection at resistance (66.80) to short or a confirmed breakout above 66.10 to go long.#AsiaPacificStocksPlunge