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Circle's earnings report is quite interesting. The results are certainly impressive, but a closer look reveals some nuances👀
Circle $CRCL released its Q3 earnings report last night, with revenue of $865 million, up 17% year over year, and earnings per share of $0.84, well above market expectations of around $0.4. Adjusted EBITDA grew 85% year over year
However, there's a detail worth noting:
This quarter, Circle recognized $182 million in revenue from the ARC token presale, accounting for around 21% of total revenue, while traditional interest income from USDC reserves actually fell 8% year over year;
More interestingly, USDC's quarterly on-chain transaction volume grew 49% year over year, but its circulating supply at quarter-end was essentially flat compared with the same period last year
This shows that USDC usage is indeed becoming more active, but its scale has yet to catch up
I think Circle's future growth drivers are still clear: the Arc mainnet, payment network, and institutional partnerships are all aiming to unlock growth beyond interest income
But this earnings beat owes something to one-time revenue
What will really be worth watching next is whether these new businesses can generate sustained revenue. After all, token sales can deliver a quarterly surprise, but long-term valuation still needs to be supported by sustained profitability