Most people are watching for a breakout amid geopolitical conflict, but I actually think we’ll see a drop first—panic sells off before the reasons come later. The biggest risk with rhetoric that frames religion directly as political mobilization is that it can turn a local flashpoint into a prolonged confrontation. Oil, freight costs, and safe-haven assets move first, while ordinary people’s wallets take the hit. The day your account doubles is when you’re most tempted to go all in—and that’s the most dangerous moment. Geopolitics is no different. What do you think?