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On-chain data shows that wallets linked to the TRUMP team transferred approximately 81.87 million TRUMP to bm, OK, and other CEXs over the past 8 months, worth approximately $249 million at the time of transfer (average price: $3.04). This is not a “sudden negative catalyst,” but rather the data finally confirming that the “draining machine” has been running for 8 months—the key figures are: the team controls 80% of the allocation (800 million tokens), and this transfer involved only 81.87 million tokens (approximately 10%), leaving approximately 718 million tokens in the wallets.
In other words, cashing out $249 million is merely an “appetizer.” At $3, there is still more than $2 billion in potential selling pressure sitting in the team’s wallets. For anyone buying TRUMP, the true counterparty is not the shorts, but the issuer itself.
The structure of TRUMP: a total supply of 1 billion, with the team/creators receiving 80% (800 million tokens) while retail investors receive 20% with unlocking requirements—this is a game where the issuer always has 8 times more tokens than you.
This cash-out:
8 months, in batches, transferred to CEXs—not a one-time dump, but “continuous drainage”: whenever the market rallies a little, some tokens are transferred to exchanges for sale
Average price of $3.04—even if the team “sold cheaply,” it still pocketed $249 million; what about retail investors who bought at $10, $20, or $50?
Historical reference: A Senate investigation showed that approximately 1 million retail investors collectively lost $3.8 billion on this project, while Trump earned approximately $636 million from TRUMP—this is not a coincidence, but a structural feature.
Three direct impacts on the token price
Impact one: Continuous selling pressure, with a clear ceiling. The team’s wallets still hold 718 million tokens—every rally provides the team with a “better exit price.” This is the “sword of Damocles” hanging over TRUMP, and the underlying reason it has fallen from its ATH of $74 to its current level (just a fraction of the high).
Impact two: Positive catalysts become “exit windows.” The “crypto dinner” a few days ago (which invited the top 185 holders) sparked a rally—but the market quickly realized that the rally driven by the event news was precisely a window for the team to continue transferring tokens.
The pattern of celebrity coins: positive news ≈ cover for the issuer to sell.
Impact three: Regulatory narrative intensifies. TRUMP has already become a focal topic in the Senate’s CLARITY Act debate—each confirmed instance of the “team cashing out” adds fuel to tighter regulation, putting pressure on the entire “political celebrity meme coin” sector.
The TRUMP team cashing out $249 million is not news, but an inevitability as the “celebrity coin cycle” reaches its midpoint—the issuer makes money, retail investors pay the bill, and regulators close in. It teaches everyone buying “political celebrity meme coins” a lesson: when the issuer holds 80% of the tokens, you are not investing—you are providing liquidity for someone else’s cash-out plan. $TRUMP