#BTC突破82K How did $82,000 become a hurdle for BTC, and how can it break through?

Bitcoin seemed to have a difficult time over the past week. Early in the week, the Senate rejected a motion to debate the CLARITY Act, and BTC swung by about $2,000 that day, while the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by another 25 basis points overnight. After taking those two heavy blows, the market held up and surged to $80,000 on Friday.

Over the weekend, an attempt to break through the recent major resistance at $82,000 failed once again, but the Greed Index still returned to the elevated 70+ range, remaining in the greed zone.

On the other hand, a rebound does not mean institutional confidence has returned, and ETF flows are the clearest example.

Data showed that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of $433 million on Friday, with Fidelity alone contributing about $310 million. Including Thursday’s roughly $160 million, total inflows over the two days reached $593 million.

However, the first half of the week saw outflows of $746.3 million over two days, leaving only a difference of about $6 million for the entire week. As of September 18, U.S. spot ETFs held approximately $102.532 billion, accounting for 6.29% of Bitcoin’s market capitalization—a far from insignificant share.

In addition, data showed that leveraged funds reduced their net short positions in four regulated Bitcoin futures contracts by 7,275 BTC equivalent positions last week, confirming that bearish pressure is easing.

But asset managers simultaneously reduced their net long positions by 4,733 BTC equivalent positions. Shorts are retreating, but longs are declining as well. This is not uniform bullishness; it looks more like both sides are moving toward neutrality, suggesting that the market is trying to return to a new state of balance.

Another interesting chart was widely circulated over the weekend. Maketo’s HODL Waves showed that the share of Bitcoin’s supply held for more than one year reached 63.3% on September 18, nearly 1% higher than the 62.32% recorded one month earlier. This led some to believe that heavy accumulation had occurred over the past month.

But when we break down the data, we find that the 1–2-year cohort rose from 13.52% to 14.57%, while the 6–12-month cohort fell from 19.10% to 17.53%. This looks more like the natural migration of Bitcoin holders than an influx of new buying.

Glassnode also made this clear in an earlier commentary: simply looking at the last time coins moved cannot reveal actual ownership or holders’ intentions, so it can most likely only serve as a reference for behavioral changes.

Returning to the technical picture, Bitcoin has been rejected near $82,000 four times since August 25, and has not once closed above that zone on a daily basis.

Each failure, however, has left a lower high in the same price range, causing overhead selling pressure to build. Liquidity during the weekend attempt was still lacking, especially since U.S. ETFs were not trading. For a genuine breakout, Monday’s spot buying will have to provide confirmation.

As for the CLARITY Act, which caused widespread discussion last week, some industry insiders said that the bill’s failure instead protected certain stablecoin reward structures. The focus of Democratic opposition was the ethics provisions, given that Trump-related crypto businesses generated $1.4 billion in revenue in 2025.

But last week we also saw the SEC and CFTC begin setting an example and attempt to offset the impact of the CLARITY Act. So far, the results have not been bad, and this could even develop further into a new catalyst this week, making it something to look forward to.

Finally, with third-quarter settlement approaching, let’s see how the market moves!#Gate广场中秋团圆局 $BTC