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On the first day of Arc’s mainnet launch, multiple tokens in its ecosystem surged rapidly at one point. The market caps of tokens such as ARGUS and TOLLY surpassed $10 million in a short period, with gains reaching several times their initial levels or more. Market sentiment was highly bullish, and many compared it with the speculative rallies seen after previous new-chain launches. However, the situation reversed rapidly just one day later. The tokens broadly fell sharply, with some retreating more than half from their highs, and market enthusiasm cooled significantly.
The community quickly turned its attention to a livestream.
The Livestream Became the Fuse for Sentiment
After the mainnet launch, the Arc-related team held a livestream. After several South Asian developers and product staff appeared on screen, community discussions quickly turned negative. Some directly linked this to a “high-risk team” and “exit scam stereotypes,” triggering concentrated selling. Statements such as “I’m not playing if Indians appear on the livestream” spread rapidly across platforms such as X, becoming one of the dominant market narratives at the time. Others objected, arguing that judging a project solely by ethnicity was prejudiced and calling for the discussion to return to the technology and execution itself.
Objectively speaking, Circle and the Arc team do include several members of South Asian background, including people responsible for product and technology. This is not uncommon at Silicon Valley technology companies.
However, Arc itself is led by Circle, and its core decision-making layer remains the original management team represented by Jeremy Allaire. Simply labeling the entire chain an “Indian project” does not fully align with its publicly disclosed organizational structure.
More Factors Were Behind the Retreat
Attributing the entire crash to the faces seen on the livestream may be an oversimplification.
First, Meme markets are inherently extremely fragile.
These tokens often surge rapidly after a new chain launches, driven by sentiment and liquidity. Once early holders begin taking profits, subsequent buying may fail to keep up, leading to extremely volatile price movements. The faster the rise, the sharper the retreat is often likely to be. Second, the macro environment was also changing. The retreat occurred as the Federal Reserve announced an interest-rate hike, while overall market risk appetite declined and speculative capital was already inclined to exit.
Moreover, new chains commonly face a clustering of launch platforms and fragmented liquidity during their early stages.
The quality and transparency of some projects vary considerably, which can also accelerate a rush for the exits when sentiment turns. The way the team was presented on the livestream was more like a spark that ignited sentiment than the sole cause. It triggered the market’s sensitivity to a “narrative gap”—on one side was the lofty positioning backed by institutions such as BlackRock and Visa, while on the other was the stark contrast in the immediate impression created by the livestream, compounded by Meme capital’s rapid entry and exit, ultimately resulting in concentrated selling.
What Really Deserves Attention
The sharp short-term swings in Meme markets cannot fully represent Arc’s long-term value. By design, the chain places greater emphasis on stablecoin settlement, institution-level applications, and a compliance-friendly validator structure. The deployment of institutional capital and real-world business typically requires a longer period of validation and moves far more slowly than first-day speculative enthusiasm.
For ordinary participants, high-volatility tokens during the early stages of a new-chain launch carry extremely high risks. Rather than focusing on discussions about the ethnicity of team members, it is better to continue monitoring several more practical indicators: whether the chain’s real transaction structure shifts from speculation toward applications, whether institution-related assets and capital gradually enter, and whether the quality of ecosystem projects improves. Meme tokens can surge overnight and retreat overnight. The livestream may have accelerated the shift in sentiment, but the inherent fragility of the market is what truly deserves greater caution.$TOLLY