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$TRX JUST BROKE A 6+ YEAR TRENDLINE: IS A 80% CRASH NEXT?



#TRX has reached a critical higher-timeframe inflection point.
The 6+ year ascending trendline has already been violated. From a pure technical perspective, this suggests a potential regime shift rather than a normal pullback.

KEY LEVEL: $0.40: Until TRX reclaims $0.40 with strong HTF acceptance, my bias remains bearish.
Below $0.40 → downside structure remains active.

STRUCTURAL READ:
The current price action resembles a rising-wedge distribution structure:
🔹 6+ year trendline breakdown
🔹 HTF resistance rejection
🔹 Loss of major structural support
🔹 Increasing downside asymmetry

FIBONACCI TARGETS:
0.5FIB → $0.0556 | T1
0.618FIB → $0.0339 | T2
0.786FIB → $0.0168 | HTF Support

If the breakdown accelerates, a 50%–80% correction remains technically possible.

ACCUMULATION ZONE: I would avoid front-running the first major dump.
If price reaches the 0.618–0.786 Fib region, $0.0339–$0.0168 becomes the primary zone I would monitor for capitulation, stabilization and potential long-term accumulation.

MY HTF THESIS:
Below $0.40 → Bearish
Above $0.40 + strong HTF acceptance → Bearish thesis weakens

I am not predicting the bottom. I am defining the structural levels that confirm or invalidate the thesis.

NFA. DYOR. Manage Risk Accordingly.
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TRXTRX+0.14%

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CryptoSuperMessiah
2026-08-19
prices are going to drop soon
0
CrossChainArchaeology
2026-08-18
Bro, your analysis is very detailed, but I just want to know whether I should cut my losses now or wait until 0.0168? My position isn’t large, so I’ll hold and wait to break even.
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InsiderTrapHunter
2026-08-18
This analysis looks pretty alarming, but 0.4 is indeed solid support. There’s no need to say more unless it breaks below.
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CandlestickNinja
2026-08-18
At the end of an ascending wedge + a trendline breakdown, I’ve seen this setup too many times: nine times out of ten it’s real, but that remaining one can blow up your short position. It’s recommended to wait for a rebound to around 0.4 before considering it.
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VaultGuard
2026-08-18
First Review
To be honest, TRX breaking its six-year trendline is indeed scary, but seeing it drop straight to 0.03 is way too extreme, isn’t it? I’ll wait and see for now and talk about it again once it holds above 0.4.
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